NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2022

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)IND0.17-0.01 to 0.20
2 (up 2 places since last week)ARI0.10-0.01 to 0.14
3 (down 1 place since last week)GNB0.09-0.01 to 0.13
4 (down 1 place since last week)HOU0.06-0.03 to 0.11
5 (no change since last week)CLE0.05-0.03 to 0.10
6 (up 1 place since last week)LAR0.04-0.04 to 0.10
7 (up 3 places since last week)CHI0.04-0.03 to 0.10
8 (no change since last week)NWE0.03-0.04 to 0.09
9 (no change since last week)NOR0.03-0.03 to 0.09
10 (down 4 places since last week)CAR0.03-0.04 to 0.09
11 (no change since last week)LAC0.02-0.04 to 0.08
12 (no change since last week)JAX0.02-0.04 to 0.08
13 (up 8 places since last week)BAL0.01-0.04 to 0.08
14 (up 1 place since last week)NYJ-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
15 (up 1 place since last week)TAM-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
16 (down 2 places since last week)SFO-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
17 (down 4 places since last week)MIA-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
18 (down 1 place since last week)DET-0.01-0.07 to 0.05
19 (down 1 place since last week)WAS-0.01-0.08 to 0.04
20 (up 11 places since last week)MIN-0.03-0.08 to 0.04
21 (down 1 place since last week)LVR-0.03-0.08 to 0.04
22 (no change since last week)TEN-0.03-0.08 to 0.04
23 (down 4 places since last week)DAL-0.04-0.09 to 0.04
24 (up 3 places since last week)DEN-0.04-0.09 to 0.04
25 (down 1 place since last week)BUF-0.04-0.09 to 0.03
26 (down 3 places since last week)PIT-0.04-0.10 to 0.03
27 (down 1 place since last week)SEA-0.05-0.11 to 0.03
28 (no change since last week)ATL-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
29 (up 1 place since last week)PHI-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
30 (down 1 place since last week)CIN-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
31 (down 6 places since last week)NYG-0.06-0.10 to 0.03
32 (no change since last week)KAN-0.08-0.12 to 0.02