NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2024

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)WAS0.540.38 to 0.68
2 (up 1 place since last week)BUF0.530.37 to 0.66
3 (down 1 place since last week)BAL0.520.35 to 0.63
4 (up 1 place since last week)DET0.320.17 to 0.42
5 (down 1 place since last week)LAC0.310.18 to 0.47
6 (no change since last week)KAN0.240.08 to 0.34
7 (up 1 place since last week)PHI0.230.09 to 0.35
8 (up 1 place since last week)LAR0.200.07 to 0.32
9 (down 2 places since last week)GNB0.180.04 to 0.28
10 (no change since last week)HOU0.140.01 to 0.26
11 (no change since last week)MIN0.07-0.06 to 0.18
12 (up 2 places since last week)ARI0.07-0.06 to 0.18
13 (no change since last week)PIT0.06-0.08 to 0.17
14 (up 1 place since last week)TAM0.05-0.07 to 0.16
15 (up 5 places since last week)NOR-0.01-0.14 to 0.10
16 (up 2 places since last week)SFO-0.01-0.14 to 0.09
17 (up 4 places since last week)NYJ-0.01-0.14 to 0.11
18 (down 6 places since last week)CIN-0.03-0.14 to 0.09
19 (down 2 places since last week)SEA-0.04-0.17 to 0.08
20 (down 1 place since last week)CHI-0.06-0.18 to 0.07
21 (up 2 places since last week)ATL-0.07-0.19 to 0.04
22 (no change since last week)NYG-0.11-0.23 to 0.01
23 (up 1 place since last week)DEN-0.14-0.26 to -0.02
24 (up 1 place since last week)NWE-0.16-0.30 to -0.05
25 (down 9 places since last week)IND-0.19-0.30 to -0.08
26 (up 1 place since last week)JAX-0.23-0.35 to -0.12
27 (down 1 place since last week)MIA-0.26-0.37 to -0.15
28 (no change since last week)CLE-0.39-0.50 to -0.28
29 (no change since last week)LVR-0.42-0.53 to -0.31
30 (up 2 places since last week)DAL-0.46-0.58 to -0.36
31 (no change since last week)CAR-0.48-0.60 to -0.37
32 (down 2 places since last week)TEN-0.52-0.63 to -0.42