NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 16, 2024

Going into Week 16

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 16, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.543[0.381, 0.684]
21up 1 positions0.531[0.369, 0.663]
31down 1 positions0.518[0.347, 0.628]
41up 1 positions0.320[0.170, 0.422]
51down 1 positions0.314[0.182, 0.466]
6no change0.235[0.077, 0.341]
71up 1 positions0.234[0.094, 0.351]
81up 1 positions0.202[0.067, 0.318]
92down 2 positions0.175[0.041, 0.278]
10no change0.137[0.006, 0.262]
11no change0.075[-0.057, 0.180]
122up 2 positions0.072[-0.056, 0.177]
13no change0.064[-0.080, 0.175]
141up 1 positions0.052[-0.069, 0.163]
155up 5 positions-0.009[-0.137, 0.102]
162up 2 positions-0.013[-0.136, 0.092]
174up 4 positions-0.015[-0.140, 0.106]
186down 6 positions-0.031[-0.145, 0.091]
192down 2 positions-0.036[-0.168, 0.080]
201down 1 positions-0.059[-0.179, 0.068]
212up 2 positions-0.072[-0.194, 0.043]
22no change-0.108[-0.233, 0.013]
231up 1 positions-0.143[-0.260, -0.021]
241up 1 positions-0.161[-0.297, -0.054]
259down 9 positions-0.189[-0.296, -0.075]
261up 1 positions-0.232[-0.347, -0.117]
271down 1 positions-0.258[-0.375, -0.146]
28no change-0.391[-0.499, -0.278]
29no change-0.420[-0.532, -0.311]
302up 2 positions-0.456[-0.575, -0.358]
31no change-0.478[-0.598, -0.368]
322down 2 positions-0.521[-0.635, -0.419]