NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Super Bowl, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Super Bowl, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)NWE0.260.16 to 0.35
2 (no change since last week)CAR0.240.16 to 0.35
3 (no change since last week)NYJ0.220.12 to 0.31
4 (no change since last week)CLE0.190.10 to 0.27
5 (no change since last week)NYG0.190.09 to 0.26
6 (no change since last week)WAS0.160.07 to 0.24
7 (no change since last week)JAX0.130.04 to 0.21
8 (no change since last week)CHI0.100.01 to 0.17
9 (no change since last week)MIA0.090.01 to 0.16
10 (no change since last week)ATL0.07-0.01 to 0.16
11 (no change since last week)LAC0.06-0.03 to 0.13
12 (no change since last week)MIN0.05-0.04 to 0.12
13 (no change since last week)ARI0.04-0.05 to 0.12
14 (no change since last week)LVR0.03-0.05 to 0.12
15 (up 1 place since last week)PIT-0.01-0.09 to 0.08
16 (down 1 place since last week)KAN-0.02-0.09 to 0.07
17 (no change since last week)IND-0.02-0.11 to 0.06
18 (no change since last week)PHI-0.03-0.11 to 0.05
19 (no change since last week)DEN-0.05-0.14 to 0.03
20 (no change since last week)BUF-0.08-0.16 to -0.00
21 (no change since last week)DET-0.08-0.17 to -0.01
22 (no change since last week)TEN-0.09-0.17 to 0.01
23 (no change since last week)CIN-0.10-0.18 to -0.00
24 (no change since last week)SEA-0.10-0.17 to 0.00
25 (up 1 place since last week)NOR-0.13-0.21 to -0.03
26 (down 1 place since last week)TAM-0.13-0.20 to -0.03
27 (up 3 places since last week)BAL-0.13-0.21 to -0.03
28 (down 1 place since last week)HOU-0.13-0.20 to -0.03
29 (down 1 place since last week)GNB-0.14-0.22 to -0.04
30 (down 1 place since last week)LAR-0.15-0.22 to -0.05
31 (no change since last week)DAL-0.16-0.24 to -0.07
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.22-0.30 to -0.12