NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Super Bowl, 2023

Going into Super Bowl

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Super Bowl, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
New England Patriots logoNWE
1no change0.264[0.354, 0.160]
Carolina Panthers logoCAR
2no change0.245[0.347, 0.158]
New York Jets logoNYJ
3no change0.220[0.307, 0.122]
Cleveland Browns logoCLE
4no change0.192[0.267, 0.101]
New York Giants logoNYG
5no change0.186[0.264, 0.086]
Washington Commanders logoWAS
6no change0.159[0.238, 0.065]
Jacksonville Jaguars logoJAX
7no change0.131[0.210, 0.044]
Chicago Bears logoCHI
8no change0.097[0.172, 0.007]
Miami Dolphins logoMIA
9no change0.093[0.164, 0.005]
Atlanta Falcons logoATL
10no change0.068[0.158, -0.010]
Los Angeles Chargers logoLAC
11no change0.055[0.135, -0.030]
Minnesota Vikings logoMIN
12no change0.048[0.121, -0.038]
Arizona Cardinals logoARI
13no change0.037[0.116, -0.051]
Las Vegas Raiders logoLVR
14no change0.029[0.121, -0.053]
Pittsburgh Steelers logoPIT
151up 1 positions-0.011[0.079, -0.091]
Kansas City Chiefs logoKAN
161down 1 positions-0.021[0.073, -0.089]
Indianapolis Colts logoIND
17no change-0.025[0.055, -0.114]
Philadelphia Eagles logoPHI
18no change-0.027[0.055, -0.111]
Denver Broncos logoDEN
19no change-0.052[0.034, -0.140]
Buffalo Bills logoBUF
20no change-0.083[-0.000, -0.161]
Detroit Lions logoDET
21no change-0.084[-0.007, -0.167]
Tennessee Titans logoTEN
22no change-0.088[0.008, -0.171]
Cincinnati Bengals logoCIN
23no change-0.099[-0.001, -0.177]
Seattle Seahawks logoSEA
24no change-0.100[0.005, -0.172]
New Orleans Saints logoNOR
251up 1 positions-0.125[-0.032, -0.212]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoTAM
261down 1 positions-0.126[-0.030, -0.203]
Baltimore Ravens logoBAL
273up 3 positions-0.126[-0.034, -0.206]
Houston Texans logoHOU
281down 1 positions-0.132[-0.031, -0.203]
Green Bay Packers logoGNB
291down 1 positions-0.135[-0.045, -0.216]
Los Angeles Rams logoLAR
301down 1 positions-0.148[-0.048, -0.224]
Dallas Cowboys logoDAL
31no change-0.158[-0.067, -0.239]
San Francisco 49ers logoSFO
32no change-0.224[-0.122, -0.304]