NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 17, 2024

Going into Week 17

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 17, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
12up 2 positions0.506[0.348, 0.612]
2no change0.441[0.289, 0.562]
32down 2 positions0.334[0.190, 0.446]
41up 1 positions0.313[0.172, 0.436]
51down 1 positions0.307[0.185, 0.427]
6no change0.245[0.127, 0.370]
7no change0.237[0.116, 0.363]
81up 1 positions0.212[0.092, 0.313]
91down 1 positions0.178[0.057, 0.294]
101up 1 positions0.128[-0.005, 0.229]
111down 1 positions0.106[-0.021, 0.213]
12no change0.053[-0.061, 0.162]
13no change0.029[-0.087, 0.145]
14no change0.028[-0.075, 0.138]
154up 4 positions0.024[-0.091, 0.134]
162up 2 positions0.008[-0.105, 0.116]
171down 1 positions-0.023[-0.130, 0.086]
183up 3 positions-0.055[-0.169, 0.051]
194down 4 positions-0.071[-0.171, 0.049]
203down 3 positions-0.077[-0.194, 0.033]
211down 1 positions-0.084[-0.209, 0.022]
221up 1 positions-0.085[-0.198, 0.028]
231up 1 positions-0.132[-0.249, -0.018]
241up 1 positions-0.144[-0.268, -0.050]
253down 3 positions-0.151[-0.265, -0.033]
261up 1 positions-0.172[-0.283, -0.070]
271down 1 positions-0.251[-0.359, -0.143]
281up 1 positions-0.348[-0.465, -0.250]
291up 1 positions-0.374[-0.472, -0.260]
301up 1 positions-0.387[-0.498, -0.276]
313down 3 positions-0.429[-0.528, -0.317]
32no change-0.463[-0.566, -0.361]