NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 17, 2024

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 17, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 2 places since last week)BAL0.510.35 to 0.61
2 (no change since last week)BUF0.440.29 to 0.56
3 (down 2 places since last week)WAS0.330.19 to 0.45
4 (up 1 place since last week)LAC0.310.17 to 0.44
5 (down 1 place since last week)DET0.310.19 to 0.43
6 (no change since last week)KAN0.250.13 to 0.37
7 (no change since last week)PHI0.240.12 to 0.36
8 (up 1 place since last week)GNB0.210.09 to 0.31
9 (down 1 place since last week)LAR0.180.06 to 0.29
10 (up 1 place since last week)MIN0.13-0.01 to 0.23
11 (down 1 place since last week)HOU0.11-0.02 to 0.21
12 (no change since last week)ARI0.05-0.06 to 0.16
13 (no change since last week)PIT0.03-0.09 to 0.15
14 (no change since last week)TAM0.03-0.08 to 0.14
15 (up 4 places since last week)SEA0.02-0.09 to 0.13
16 (up 2 places since last week)CIN0.01-0.11 to 0.12
17 (down 1 place since last week)SFO-0.02-0.13 to 0.09
18 (up 3 places since last week)ATL-0.05-0.17 to 0.05
19 (down 4 places since last week)NOR-0.07-0.17 to 0.05
20 (down 3 places since last week)NYJ-0.08-0.19 to 0.03
21 (down 1 place since last week)CHI-0.08-0.21 to 0.02
22 (up 1 place since last week)DEN-0.08-0.20 to 0.03
23 (up 1 place since last week)NWE-0.13-0.25 to -0.02
24 (up 1 place since last week)IND-0.14-0.27 to -0.05
25 (down 3 places since last week)NYG-0.15-0.26 to -0.03
26 (up 1 place since last week)MIA-0.17-0.28 to -0.07
27 (down 1 place since last week)JAX-0.25-0.36 to -0.14
28 (up 1 place since last week)LVR-0.35-0.46 to -0.25
29 (up 1 place since last week)DAL-0.37-0.47 to -0.26
30 (up 1 place since last week)CAR-0.39-0.50 to -0.28
31 (down 3 places since last week)CLE-0.43-0.53 to -0.32
32 (no change since last week)TEN-0.46-0.57 to -0.36