NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Conference, 2024

Going into Conference Championship

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Conference, 2024, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.545[0.411, 0.663]
2no change0.417[0.278, 0.529]
3no change0.339[0.207, 0.451]
4no change0.339[0.201, 0.448]
51up 1 positions0.281[0.158, 0.401]
61down 1 positions0.280[0.134, 0.373]
7no change0.258[0.128, 0.349]
8no change0.245[0.131, 0.359]
9no change0.116[0.019, 0.221]
10no change0.096[-0.003, 0.208]
11no change0.090[-0.024, 0.198]
12no change0.068[-0.049, 0.163]
13no change0.048[-0.069, 0.150]
14no change0.035[-0.077, 0.133]
15no change-0.003[-0.116, 0.097]
16no change-0.006[-0.114, 0.103]
17no change-0.031[-0.135, 0.067]
18no change-0.041[-0.151, 0.058]
19no change-0.044[-0.154, 0.056]
20no change-0.074[-0.186, 0.028]
21no change-0.074[-0.183, 0.036]
22no change-0.123[-0.218, -0.006]
23no change-0.156[-0.263, -0.057]
24no change-0.159[-0.271, -0.053]
25no change-0.175[-0.287, -0.068]
26no change-0.179[-0.276, -0.062]
27no change-0.212[-0.317, -0.112]
28no change-0.273[-0.381, -0.177]
29no change-0.336[-0.451, -0.242]
30no change-0.369[-0.467, -0.270]
31no change-0.466[-0.566, -0.370]
32no change-0.534[-0.620, -0.425]