NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 9, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 9, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 2 places since last week)CHI0.02-0.03 to 0.04
2 (down 1 place since last week)NWE0.02-0.03 to 0.04
3 (down 1 place since last week)CAR0.01-0.03 to 0.04
4 (up 5 places since last week)ARI0.01-0.02 to 0.04
5 (up 5 places since last week)LVR0.01-0.02 to 0.04
6 (down 2 places since last week)CLE0.01-0.02 to 0.04
7 (down 2 places since last week)NYG0.01-0.03 to 0.03
8 (down 1 place since last week)JAX0.01-0.02 to 0.04
9 (up 5 places since last week)GNB0.01-0.03 to 0.04
10 (down 2 places since last week)ATL0.01-0.03 to 0.03
11 (up 2 places since last week)PIT0.00-0.03 to 0.04
12 (down 6 places since last week)IND0.00-0.03 to 0.03
13 (up 2 places since last week)WAS0.00-0.03 to 0.03
14 (down 2 places since last week)MIN0.00-0.03 to 0.03
15 (up 4 places since last week)NYJ0.00-0.03 to 0.03
16 (up 2 places since last week)DEN0.00-0.03 to 0.03
17 (down 6 places since last week)MIA0.00-0.03 to 0.03
18 (down 2 places since last week)PHI-0.00-0.03 to 0.03
19 (down 2 places since last week)CIN-0.00-0.03 to 0.03
20 (up 4 places since last week)DET-0.00-0.04 to 0.03
21 (up 7 places since last week)KAN-0.00-0.03 to 0.03
22 (down 1 place since last week)BUF-0.00-0.04 to 0.03
23 (up 2 places since last week)SEA-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
24 (down 2 places since last week)DAL-0.01-0.03 to 0.03
25 (up 6 places since last week)LAR-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
26 (down 6 places since last week)TAM-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
27 (down 1 place since last week)TEN-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
28 (up 1 place since last week)LAC-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
29 (down 6 places since last week)BAL-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
30 (down 3 places since last week)NOR-0.01-0.04 to 0.03
31 (down 1 place since last week)HOU-0.01-0.04 to 0.02
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.02-0.05 to 0.02