NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2022

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)IND0.200.09 to 0.31
2 (no change since last week)GNB0.10-0.02 to 0.14
3 (no change since last week)ARI0.09-0.01 to 0.13
4 (no change since last week)CHI0.07-0.02 to 0.12
5 (up 1 place since last week)HOU0.07-0.02 to 0.12
6 (down 1 place since last week)CLE0.05-0.03 to 0.10
7 (up 5 places since last week)NYJ0.03-0.04 to 0.09
8 (down 1 place since last week)NOR0.02-0.05 to 0.08
9 (up 9 places since last week)WAS0.01-0.05 to 0.07
10 (down 2 places since last week)NWE0.01-0.05 to 0.08
11 (down 2 places since last week)LAR0.01-0.05 to 0.08
12 (up 1 place since last week)MIA0.01-0.05 to 0.08
13 (up 3 places since last week)CAR0.01-0.05 to 0.07
14 (down 3 places since last week)TAM0.00-0.05 to 0.07
15 (no change since last week)JAX0.00-0.06 to 0.06
16 (down 6 places since last week)LAC-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
17 (down 3 places since last week)BAL-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
18 (up 1 place since last week)TEN-0.00-0.07 to 0.05
19 (down 2 places since last week)SFO-0.02-0.08 to 0.04
20 (up 5 places since last week)PHI-0.02-0.08 to 0.04
21 (up 2 places since last week)DEN-0.02-0.08 to 0.04
22 (up 2 places since last week)MIN-0.03-0.08 to 0.04
23 (down 2 places since last week)BUF-0.03-0.08 to 0.04
24 (down 4 places since last week)LVR-0.03-0.09 to 0.04
25 (down 3 places since last week)DET-0.05-0.09 to 0.03
26 (up 2 places since last week)ATL-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
27 (up 2 places since last week)DAL-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
28 (down 2 places since last week)SEA-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
29 (down 2 places since last week)NYG-0.06-0.11 to 0.03
30 (no change since last week)CIN-0.06-0.11 to 0.03
31 (no change since last week)PIT-0.09-0.13 to 0.02
32 (no change since last week)KAN-0.10-0.14 to 0.01