NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 18, 2022

Going into Week 18

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 18, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
1no change0.204[0.313, 0.094]
2no change0.103[0.136, -0.016]
3no change0.094[0.135, -0.011]
4no change0.072[0.118, -0.021]
51up 1 positions0.069[0.118, -0.018]
61down 1 positions0.052[0.097, -0.032]
75up 5 positions0.033[0.091, -0.035]
81down 1 positions0.021[0.076, -0.048]
99up 9 positions0.014[0.073, -0.049]
102down 2 positions0.012[0.078, -0.046]
112down 2 positions0.012[0.075, -0.051]
121up 1 positions0.012[0.077, -0.046]
133up 3 positions0.010[0.067, -0.054]
143down 3 positions0.005[0.071, -0.049]
15no change0.004[0.063, -0.057]
166down 6 positions-0.001[0.056, -0.063]
173down 3 positions-0.001[0.058, -0.064]
181up 1 positions-0.004[0.052, -0.070]
192down 2 positions-0.019[0.044, -0.077]
205up 5 positions-0.022[0.038, -0.084]
212up 2 positions-0.022[0.043, -0.078]
222up 2 positions-0.025[0.043, -0.079]
232down 2 positions-0.032[0.038, -0.081]
244down 4 positions-0.032[0.041, -0.086]
253down 3 positions-0.045[0.033, -0.095]
262up 2 positions-0.047[0.034, -0.096]
272up 2 positions-0.049[0.033, -0.097]
282down 2 positions-0.049[0.031, -0.098]
292down 2 positions-0.058[0.027, -0.106]
30no change-0.061[0.025, -0.107]
31no change-0.087[0.019, -0.130]
32no change-0.103[0.010, -0.143]