NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2022

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)IND0.250.14 to 0.34
2 (up 1 place since last week)ARI0.160.06 to 0.24
3 (down 1 place since last week)GNB0.140.05 to 0.23
4 (no change since last week)CHI0.130.03 to 0.20
5 (no change since last week)HOU0.10-0.01 to 0.15
6 (no change since last week)CLE0.08-0.01 to 0.14
7 (up 6 places since last week)CAR0.03-0.05 to 0.10
8 (up 9 places since last week)BAL0.03-0.05 to 0.10
9 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ0.03-0.05 to 0.09
10 (down 2 places since last week)NOR0.02-0.05 to 0.09
11 (down 1 place since last week)NWE0.02-0.05 to 0.09
12 (up 2 places since last week)TAM0.01-0.06 to 0.08
13 (down 4 places since last week)WAS0.01-0.06 to 0.08
14 (down 2 places since last week)MIA0.01-0.07 to 0.08
15 (no change since last week)JAX0.00-0.06 to 0.08
16 (up 2 places since last week)TEN0.00-0.06 to 0.08
17 (down 6 places since last week)LAR-0.00-0.08 to 0.07
18 (down 2 places since last week)LAC-0.00-0.08 to 0.06
19 (up 5 places since last week)LVR-0.02-0.09 to 0.05
20 (up 2 places since last week)MIN-0.03-0.09 to 0.05
21 (down 2 places since last week)SFO-0.03-0.11 to 0.04
22 (down 1 place since last week)DEN-0.05-0.11 to 0.03
23 (no change since last week)BUF-0.05-0.11 to 0.03
24 (up 3 places since last week)DAL-0.05-0.12 to 0.03
25 (down 5 places since last week)PHI-0.05-0.12 to 0.02
26 (up 2 places since last week)SEA-0.07-0.13 to 0.02
27 (down 1 place since last week)ATL-0.08-0.14 to 0.02
28 (up 2 places since last week)CIN-0.08-0.14 to 0.01
29 (down 4 places since last week)DET-0.08-0.14 to 0.01
30 (down 1 place since last week)NYG-0.09-0.15 to 0.00
31 (no change since last week)PIT-0.12-0.16 to 0.01
32 (no change since last week)KAN-0.16-0.23 to -0.04