NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2022

Going into Wild Card

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated Tue, Sep 26, 2023 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2022, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
Team	Team	Rank	Median	50% interval
Indianapolis Colts	IND	1no change	0.247	[0.341, 0.137]
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	21up 1 positions	0.156	[0.235, 0.057]
Green Bay Packers	GNB	31down 1 positions	0.145	[0.229, 0.055]
Chicago Bears	CHI	4no change	0.131	[0.201, 0.031]
Houston Texans	HOU	5no change	0.102	[0.148, -0.009]
Cleveland Browns	CLE	6no change	0.082	[0.139, -0.012]
Carolina Panthers	CAR	76up 6 positions	0.027	[0.097, -0.048]
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	89up 9 positions	0.027	[0.096, -0.046]
New York Jets	NYJ	92down 2 positions	0.027	[0.092, -0.049]
New Orleans Saints	NOR	102down 2 positions	0.022	[0.093, -0.048]
New England Patriots	NWE	111down 1 positions	0.017	[0.093, -0.053]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	122up 2 positions	0.012	[0.079, -0.063]
Washington Commanders	WAS	134down 4 positions	0.009	[0.084, -0.057]
Miami Dolphins	MIA	142down 2 positions	0.007	[0.077, -0.068]
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	15no change	0.004	[0.077, -0.062]
Tennessee Titans	TEN	162up 2 positions	0.002	[0.078, -0.062]
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	176down 6 positions	-0.002	[0.065, -0.079]
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	182down 2 positions	-0.005	[0.064, -0.077]
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	195up 5 positions	-0.018	[0.052, -0.088]
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	202up 2 positions	-0.028	[0.047, -0.092]
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	212down 2 positions	-0.035	[0.037, -0.108]
Denver Broncos	DEN	221down 1 positions	-0.045	[0.033, -0.113]
Buffalo Bills	BUF	23no change	-0.046	[0.035, -0.107]
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	243up 3 positions	-0.048	[0.032, -0.116]
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	255down 5 positions	-0.051	[0.024, -0.117]
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	262up 2 positions	-0.067	[0.022, -0.127]
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	271down 1 positions	-0.075	[0.017, -0.139]
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	282up 2 positions	-0.078	[0.008, -0.142]
Detroit Lions	DET	294down 4 positions	-0.084	[0.012, -0.140]
New York Giants	NYG	301down 1 positions	-0.090	[0.002, -0.152]
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	31no change	-0.124	[0.012, -0.162]
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	32no change	-0.163	[-0.044, -0.230]