NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2025

Going into Wild Card

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated Wed, Jan 7, 2026 · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
Team	Team	Rank	Median	50% interval
Houston Texans	HOU	1no change	0.188	[0.083, 0.274]
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	2no change	0.158	[0.060, 0.236]
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	3no change	0.102	[-0.004, 0.165]
New England Patriots	NWE	42up 2 positions	0.087	[-0.008, 0.155]
Denver Broncos	DEN	55up 5 positions	0.086	[-0.021, 0.146]
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	62down 2 positions	0.084	[-0.011, 0.160]
Green Bay Packers	GNB	72up 2 positions	0.076	[-0.016, 0.149]
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	83up 3 positions	0.074	[-0.024, 0.144]
Detroit Lions	DET	95up 5 positions	0.065	[-0.027, 0.129]
Chicago Bears	CHI	102down 2 positions	0.062	[-0.022, 0.137]
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	116down 6 positions	0.060	[-0.018, 0.139]
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	125down 5 positions	0.057	[-0.024, 0.130]
Indianapolis Colts	IND	131down 1 positions	0.052	[-0.036, 0.124]
Buffalo Bills	BUF	141up 1 positions	0.049	[-0.033, 0.123]
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	151up 1 positions	0.046	[-0.037, 0.120]
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	163down 3 positions	0.044	[-0.040, 0.119]
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	171up 1 positions	0.026	[-0.055, 0.102]
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	181down 1 positions	0.003	[-0.081, 0.074]
Washington Commanders	WAS	19no change	0.000	[-0.076, 0.077]
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	20no change	-0.011	[-0.088, 0.066]
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	211up 1 positions	-0.022	[-0.098, 0.057]
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	221down 1 positions	-0.024	[-0.093, 0.062]
Miami Dolphins	MIA	23no change	-0.035	[-0.107, 0.048]
New York Giants	NYG	24no change	-0.038	[-0.109, 0.045]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	25no change	-0.077	[-0.153, 0.006]
Tennessee Titans	TEN	26no change	-0.093	[-0.160, 0.003]
Carolina Panthers	CAR	27no change	-0.111	[-0.186, -0.019]
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	28no change	-0.115	[-0.191, -0.024]
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	29no change	-0.176	[-0.255, -0.074]
New York Jets	NYJ	30no change	-0.181	[-0.270, -0.087]
New Orleans Saints	NOR	31no change	-0.206	[-0.286, -0.106]
Cleveland Browns	CLE	32no change	-0.297	[-0.391, -0.179]