NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Wild Card, 2025

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Wild Card, 2025, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (no change since last week)HOU0.190.08 to 0.27
2 (no change since last week)LAR0.160.06 to 0.24
3 (no change since last week)KAN0.10-0.00 to 0.17
4 (up 2 places since last week)NWE0.09-0.01 to 0.15
5 (up 5 places since last week)DEN0.09-0.02 to 0.15
6 (down 2 places since last week)PHI0.08-0.01 to 0.16
7 (up 2 places since last week)GNB0.08-0.02 to 0.15
8 (up 3 places since last week)PIT0.07-0.02 to 0.14
9 (up 5 places since last week)DET0.06-0.03 to 0.13
10 (down 2 places since last week)CHI0.06-0.02 to 0.14
11 (down 6 places since last week)SFO0.06-0.02 to 0.14
12 (down 5 places since last week)DAL0.06-0.02 to 0.13
13 (down 1 place since last week)IND0.05-0.04 to 0.12
14 (up 1 place since last week)BUF0.05-0.03 to 0.12
15 (up 1 place since last week)CIN0.05-0.04 to 0.12
16 (down 3 places since last week)SEA0.04-0.04 to 0.12
17 (up 1 place since last week)JAX0.03-0.05 to 0.10
18 (down 1 place since last week)LAC0.00-0.08 to 0.07
19 (no change since last week)WAS0.00-0.08 to 0.08
20 (no change since last week)ATL-0.01-0.09 to 0.07
21 (up 1 place since last week)BAL-0.02-0.10 to 0.06
22 (down 1 place since last week)ARI-0.02-0.09 to 0.06
23 (no change since last week)MIA-0.03-0.11 to 0.05
24 (no change since last week)NYG-0.04-0.11 to 0.04
25 (no change since last week)TAM-0.08-0.15 to 0.01
26 (no change since last week)TEN-0.09-0.16 to 0.00
27 (no change since last week)CAR-0.11-0.19 to -0.02
28 (no change since last week)MIN-0.11-0.19 to -0.02
29 (no change since last week)LVR-0.18-0.26 to -0.07
30 (no change since last week)NYJ-0.18-0.27 to -0.09
31 (no change since last week)NOR-0.21-0.29 to -0.11
32 (no change since last week)CLE-0.30-0.39 to -0.18