NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 13, 2023

Going into Week 13

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 13, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
13up 3 positions0.072[0.106, -0.023]
2no change0.057[0.091, -0.029]
32up 2 positions0.056[0.092, -0.028]
43down 3 positions0.056[0.094, -0.025]
52down 2 positions0.056[0.093, -0.022]
6no change0.043[0.078, -0.033]
71up 1 positions0.033[0.079, -0.032]
83up 3 positions0.022[0.066, -0.035]
9no change0.022[0.064, -0.039]
10no change0.021[0.069, -0.034]
111up 1 positions0.015[0.066, -0.034]
125down 5 positions0.012[0.064, -0.035]
139up 9 positions0.004[0.055, -0.043]
144up 4 positions0.003[0.057, -0.039]
15no change-0.001[0.048, -0.049]
163down 3 positions-0.002[0.047, -0.053]
1710up 10 positions-0.005[0.042, -0.054]
183up 3 positions-0.011[0.043, -0.057]
195up 5 positions-0.013[0.036, -0.069]
201down 1 positions-0.013[0.034, -0.066]
215down 5 positions-0.014[0.039, -0.063]
228down 8 positions-0.016[0.039, -0.062]
236down 6 positions-0.016[0.034, -0.066]
241up 1 positions-0.019[0.035, -0.070]
255down 5 positions-0.020[0.038, -0.067]
263down 3 positions-0.025[0.035, -0.070]
271down 1 positions-0.030[0.029, -0.078]
281up 1 positions-0.035[0.029, -0.080]
291down 1 positions-0.036[0.030, -0.081]
301up 1 positions-0.043[0.030, -0.080]
311down 1 positions-0.056[0.028, -0.090]
32no change-0.080[0.020, -0.113]