NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 15, 2023

Going into Week 15

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 15, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
TeamRankMedian50% interval
13up 3 positions0.129[0.168, -0.008]
21down 1 positions0.121[0.161, -0.009]
31down 1 positions0.091[0.128, -0.026]
41down 1 positions0.090[0.133, -0.018]
51up 1 positions0.084[0.132, -0.018]
61down 1 positions0.077[0.123, -0.020]
7no change0.068[0.121, -0.022]
8no change0.046[0.099, -0.032]
9no change0.032[0.091, -0.036]
103up 3 positions0.024[0.085, -0.042]
11no change0.023[0.087, -0.038]
123up 3 positions0.019[0.080, -0.043]
136up 6 positions0.015[0.076, -0.050]
144down 4 positions0.015[0.078, -0.050]
153down 3 positions-0.002[0.055, -0.070]
162down 2 positions-0.002[0.060, -0.065]
171up 1 positions-0.007[0.052, -0.075]
185up 5 positions-0.010[0.049, -0.079]
193down 3 positions-0.011[0.056, -0.070]
202up 2 positions-0.014[0.050, -0.076]
214down 4 positions-0.022[0.051, -0.080]
221down 1 positions-0.024[0.042, -0.086]
233down 3 positions-0.031[0.035, -0.090]
242up 2 positions-0.038[0.036, -0.097]
25no change-0.041[0.032, -0.101]
262down 2 positions-0.049[0.032, -0.103]
27no change-0.053[0.032, -0.104]
282up 2 positions-0.063[0.025, -0.113]
29no change-0.074[0.025, -0.122]
302down 2 positions-0.080[0.019, -0.128]
31no change-0.119[0.011, -0.153]
32no change-0.153[0.007, -0.183]