NFL Offensive Turnover Rate: Going into Week 15, 2023

Offensive turnover rate measures how likely each offense is to give the ball away on a drive, adjusted for the defenses it has faced. Values are relative to a league-average offense (0); higher means fewer turnovers. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

Median50% interval

Offensive Turnover Rate for all 32 NFL teams going into Week 15, 2023, ranked high to low. Median and 50% interval of the model estimate (model effect, 0 = league average, higher is better).
RankTeamMedian50% interval
1 (up 3 places since last week)CAR0.13-0.01 to 0.17
2 (down 1 place since last week)NWE0.12-0.01 to 0.16
3 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ0.09-0.03 to 0.13
4 (down 1 place since last week)NYG0.09-0.02 to 0.13
5 (up 1 place since last week)LVR0.08-0.02 to 0.13
6 (down 1 place since last week)CHI0.08-0.02 to 0.12
7 (no change since last week)ARI0.07-0.02 to 0.12
8 (no change since last week)CLE0.05-0.03 to 0.10
9 (no change since last week)WAS0.03-0.04 to 0.09
10 (up 3 places since last week)JAX0.02-0.04 to 0.09
11 (no change since last week)MIA0.02-0.04 to 0.09
12 (up 3 places since last week)DET0.02-0.04 to 0.08
13 (up 6 places since last week)LAC0.02-0.05 to 0.08
14 (down 4 places since last week)ATL0.02-0.05 to 0.08
15 (down 3 places since last week)MIN-0.00-0.07 to 0.05
16 (down 2 places since last week)IND-0.00-0.06 to 0.06
17 (up 1 place since last week)KAN-0.01-0.07 to 0.05
18 (up 5 places since last week)PIT-0.01-0.08 to 0.05
19 (down 3 places since last week)SEA-0.01-0.07 to 0.06
20 (up 2 places since last week)PHI-0.01-0.08 to 0.05
21 (down 4 places since last week)DEN-0.02-0.08 to 0.05
22 (down 1 place since last week)GNB-0.02-0.09 to 0.04
23 (down 3 places since last week)BUF-0.03-0.09 to 0.03
24 (up 2 places since last week)TEN-0.04-0.10 to 0.04
25 (no change since last week)NOR-0.04-0.10 to 0.03
26 (down 2 places since last week)TAM-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
27 (no change since last week)BAL-0.05-0.10 to 0.03
28 (up 2 places since last week)HOU-0.06-0.11 to 0.03
29 (no change since last week)CIN-0.07-0.12 to 0.03
30 (down 2 places since last week)LAR-0.08-0.13 to 0.02
31 (no change since last week)DAL-0.12-0.15 to 0.01
32 (no change since last week)SFO-0.15-0.18 to 0.01