NFL Power Rankings: Week 13, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 13, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 2 places since last week)LAR78.7%
2 (no change since last week)KAN72.0%
3 (up 4 places since last week)HOU69.3%
4 (up 1 place since last week)SEA68.0%
5 (up 1 place since last week)DET68.0%
6 (down 2 places since last week)BUF66.0%
7 (down 6 places since last week)IND65.3%
8 (up 10 places since last week)GNB64.0%
9 (no change since last week)LAC63.3%
10 (up 5 places since last week)JAX62.7%
11 (down 1 place since last week)DEN62.7%
12 (down 4 places since last week)NWE55.3%
13 (down 2 places since last week)SFO54.0%
14 (up 10 places since last week)PHI53.3%
15 (up 5 places since last week)MIN51.3%
16 (down 4 places since last week)DAL50.0%
17 (down 1 place since last week)MIA50.0%
18 (down 1 place since last week)TAM48.0%
19 (down 5 places since last week)ATL46.7%
20 (down 1 place since last week)BAL46.0%
21 (down 8 places since last week)PIT44.7%
22 (down 1 place since last week)ARI44.7%
23 (no change since last week)CHI44.0%
24 (up 2 places since last week)NYG43.3%
25 (no change since last week)CAR42.0%
26 (up 4 places since last week)NYJ40.0%
27 (down 5 places since last week)WAS37.3%
28 (no change since last week)CLE35.3%
29 (no change since last week)NOR32.7%
30 (up 2 places since last week)CIN32.7%
31 (down 4 places since last week)LVR28.7%
32 (down 1 place since last week)TEN24.7%