NFL Power Rankings: Week 10, 2022

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 10, 2022: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)BUF79.0%
2 (no change since last week)PHI68.0%
3 (up 2 places since last week)SFO67.0%
4 (down 1 place since last week)KAN65.0%
5 (up 7 places since last week)CIN64.0%
6 (up 2 places since last week)BAL63.0%
7 (up 14 places since last week)MIN58.0%
8 (up 1 place since last week)GNB57.0%
9 (up 10 places since last week)DAL56.0%
10 (down 3 places since last week)CLE55.0%
11 (up 7 places since last week)SEA54.0%
12 (down 8 places since last week)JAX54.0%
13 (down 7 places since last week)LVR53.0%
14 (up 2 places since last week)DET53.0%
15 (up 10 places since last week)MIA51.0%
16 (down 5 places since last week)NOR51.0%
17 (up 6 places since last week)CHI49.0%
18 (up 11 places since last week)IND48.0%
19 (down 6 places since last week)NYG48.0%
20 (no change since last week)LAR48.0%
21 (down 11 places since last week)NYJ47.0%
22 (down 5 places since last week)NWE47.0%
23 (down 9 places since last week)DEN46.0%
24 (no change since last week)ARI44.0%
25 (down 10 places since last week)ATL44.0%
26 (up 2 places since last week)TAM43.0%
27 (down 1 place since last week)LAC39.0%
28 (up 3 places since last week)TEN38.0%
29 (up 3 places since last week)PIT36.0%
30 (down 3 places since last week)CAR36.0%
31 (down 1 place since last week)HOU32.0%
32 (down 10 places since last week)WAS27.0%