NFL Power Rankings: Week 9, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 9, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 2 places since last week)KAN74.0%
2 (down 1 place since last week)IND69.3%
3 (down 1 place since last week)LAR68.7%
4 (no change since last week)LAC68.7%
5 (up 5 places since last week)DEN64.7%
6 (up 16 places since last week)HOU63.3%
7 (down 1 place since last week)DET62.0%
8 (down 1 place since last week)BUF60.7%
9 (up 2 places since last week)GNB58.7%
10 (up 4 places since last week)DAL58.7%
11 (up 9 places since last week)PHI56.0%
12 (down 7 places since last week)SFO54.0%
13 (up 8 places since last week)SEA54.0%
14 (up 4 places since last week)NWE54.0%
15 (up 1 place since last week)NYG51.3%
16 (up 7 places since last week)MIA51.3%
17 (no change since last week)JAX50.7%
18 (down 10 places since last week)MIN50.7%
19 (down 7 places since last week)ATL50.0%
20 (down 1 place since last week)PIT49.3%
21 (down 12 places since last week)TAM45.3%
22 (down 7 places since last week)WAS44.7%
23 (down 10 places since last week)CAR41.3%
24 (up 6 places since last week)ARI40.7%
25 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ39.3%
26 (up 3 places since last week)BAL39.3%
27 (down 2 places since last week)LVR39.3%
28 (down 1 place since last week)CHI36.7%
29 (down 1 place since last week)NOR29.3%
30 (up 1 place since last week)CIN27.3%
31 (up 1 place since last week)TEN27.3%
32 (down 6 places since last week)CLE24.0%