NFL Power Rankings: Week 10, 2023

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 10, 2023: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 8 places since last week)KAN74.0%
2 (up 4 places since last week)BAL70.0%
3 (down 2 places since last week)MIA66.0%
4 (up 4 places since last week)CLE63.0%
5 (up 8 places since last week)HOU58.0%
6 (down 4 places since last week)SFO56.0%
7 (up 3 places since last week)NOR55.0%
8 (down 4 places since last week)MIN54.0%
9 (up 3 places since last week)PHI54.0%
10 (up 9 places since last week)ATL53.0%
11 (down 4 places since last week)CHI53.0%
12 (down 1 place since last week)BUF52.0%
13 (down 10 places since last week)DAL52.0%
14 (no change since last week)LAC51.0%
15 (up 1 place since last week)IND51.0%
16 (up 12 places since last week)CIN51.0%
17 (up 5 places since last week)CAR50.0%
18 (up 7 places since last week)WAS50.0%
19 (up 2 places since last week)ARI49.0%
20 (down 2 places since last week)JAX48.0%
21 (down 16 places since last week)DET48.0%
22 (up 5 places since last week)TAM47.0%
23 (up 6 places since last week)TEN45.0%
24 (up 2 places since last week)GNB44.0%
25 (down 5 places since last week)PIT44.0%
26 (down 2 places since last week)DEN44.0%
27 (down 10 places since last week)LVR43.0%
28 (down 5 places since last week)LAR41.0%
29 (down 14 places since last week)SEA39.0%
30 (up 2 places since last week)NYG38.0%
31 (no change since last week)NWE31.0%
32 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ24.0%