NFL Power Rankings: Week 12, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 12, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 7 places since last week)IND74.7%
2 (up 4 places since last week)KAN74.0%
3 (down 2 places since last week)LAR69.3%
4 (down 1 place since last week)BUF68.7%
5 (up 4 places since last week)SEA66.0%
6 (up 7 places since last week)DET65.3%
7 (no change since last week)HOU64.7%
8 (up 3 places since last week)NWE60.7%
9 (down 5 places since last week)LAC60.7%
10 (down 8 places since last week)DEN59.3%
11 (up 5 places since last week)SFO58.7%
12 (up 8 places since last week)DAL57.3%
13 (up 6 places since last week)PIT55.3%
14 (down 2 places since last week)ATL54.0%
15 (up 3 places since last week)JAX53.3%
16 (up 5 places since last week)MIA51.3%
17 (down 2 places since last week)TAM50.0%
18 (down 8 places since last week)GNB49.3%
19 (up 7 places since last week)BAL47.3%
20 (down 6 places since last week)MIN46.7%
21 (up 9 places since last week)ARI43.3%
22 (up 2 places since last week)WAS43.3%
23 (up 2 places since last week)CHI43.3%
24 (down 19 places since last week)PHI42.7%
25 (up 2 places since last week)CAR42.7%
26 (down 9 places since last week)NYG40.7%
27 (down 5 places since last week)LVR40.0%
28 (up 1 place since last week)CLE38.0%
29 (down 6 places since last week)NOR37.3%
30 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ31.3%
31 (up 1 place since last week)TEN30.0%
32 (down 1 place since last week)CIN22.0%