NFL Power Rankings: Week 13, 2022

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 13, 2022: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)BUF80.0%
2 (up 5 places since last week)SFO70.0%
3 (up 1 place since last week)KAN70.0%
4 (down 1 place since last week)PHI68.0%
5 (up 1 place since last week)BAL66.0%
6 (down 4 places since last week)CIN62.0%
7 (down 2 places since last week)DAL60.0%
8 (up 1 place since last week)TAM56.0%
9 (up 1 place since last week)MIA54.0%
10 (up 5 places since last week)WAS51.0%
11 (up 11 places since last week)DET51.0%
12 (up 2 places since last week)JAX50.0%
13 (up 6 places since last week)ARI50.0%
14 (down 6 places since last week)NYJ48.0%
15 (down 2 places since last week)NOR47.0%
16 (up 5 places since last week)DEN47.0%
17 (up 8 places since last week)CLE47.0%
18 (up 10 places since last week)TEN46.0%
19 (up 1 place since last week)SEA46.0%
20 (down 9 places since last week)LVR46.0%
21 (down 4 places since last week)MIN45.0%
22 (down 4 places since last week)LAC45.0%
23 (up 1 place since last week)GNB44.0%
24 (down 12 places since last week)NYG41.0%
25 (up 2 places since last week)CHI38.0%
26 (down 10 places since last week)ATL37.0%
27 (down 1 place since last week)NWE36.0%
28 (up 4 places since last week)CAR34.0%
29 (down 6 places since last week)LAR33.0%
30 (down 1 place since last week)PIT33.0%
31 (down 1 place since last week)IND33.0%
32 (down 1 place since last week)HOU26.0%