NFL Power Rankings: Wild Card, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 77.6% |
| 2 (down 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 75.2% |
| 3 (up 1 place since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 74.0% |
| 4 (up 1 place since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 71.8% |
| 5 (down 2 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 71.6% |
| 6 (no change since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 70.2% |
| 7 (no change since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 68.4% |
| 8 (up 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 68.4% |
| 9 (up 1 place since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 64.0% |
| 10 (up 1 place since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 60.8% |
| 11 (down 3 places since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 60.6% |
| 12 (up 4 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 60.4% |
| 13 (down 1 place since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 58.8% |
| 14 (no change since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 54.4% |
| 15 (down 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 52.8% |
| 16 (up 3 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 51.6% |
| 17 (down 2 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 51.0% |
| 18 (up 3 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 49.6% |
| 19 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 48.8% |
| 20 (up 2 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 47.6% |
| 21 (down 1 place since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 47.2% |
| 22 (down 5 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 46.6% |
| 23 (no change since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 44.6% |
| 24 (no change since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 40.2% |
| 25 (no change since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 40.0% |
| 26 (no change since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 38.2% |
| 27 (up 3 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 33.8% |
| 28 (up 1 place since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 31.4% |
| 29 (down 1 place since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 29.8% |
| 30 (down 3 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 29.0% |
| 31 (up 1 place since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 22.6% |
| 32 (down 1 place since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 22.4% |