2024

Wild Card

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Detroit Lions	DET	11up 1 positions	0.78
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	21down 1 positions	0.75
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	31up 1 positions	0.74
Green Bay Packers	GNB	41up 1 positions	0.72
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	52down 2 positions	0.72
Buffalo Bills	BUF	6no change	0.70
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	7no change	0.68
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	81up 1 positions	0.68
Washington Commanders	WAS	91up 1 positions	0.64
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	101up 1 positions	0.61
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	113down 3 positions	0.61
Denver Broncos	DEN	124up 4 positions	0.60
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	131down 1 positions	0.59
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	14no change	0.54
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	152down 2 positions	0.53
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	163up 3 positions	0.52
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	172down 2 positions	0.51
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	183up 3 positions	0.50
Miami Dolphins	MIA	191down 1 positions	0.49
Chicago Bears	CHI	202up 2 positions	0.48
Houston Texans	HOU	211down 1 positions	0.47
Indianapolis Colts	IND	225down 5 positions	0.47
New Orleans Saints	NOR	23no change	0.45
New York Jets	NYJ	24no change	0.40
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	25no change	0.40
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	26no change	0.38
New England Patriots	NWE	273up 3 positions	0.34
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	281up 1 positions	0.31
New York Giants	NYG	291down 1 positions	0.30
Tennessee Titans	TEN	303down 3 positions	0.29
Carolina Panthers	CAR	311up 1 positions	0.23
Cleveland Browns	CLE	321down 1 positions	0.22