NFL Power Rankings: Week 5, 2026
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 3 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 67.3% |
| 2 (no change since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 66.0% |
| 3 (down 2 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 62.0% |
| 4 (up 4 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 58.0% |
| 5 (up 13 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 58.0% |
| 6 (down 3 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 56.0% |
| 7 (up 10 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 55.3% |
| 8 (down 2 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 55.3% |
| 9 (up 11 places since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 54.0% |
| 10 (up 16 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 54.0% |
| 11 (down 6 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 53.3% |
| 12 (up 4 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 51.3% |
| 13 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 51.3% |
| 14 (down 3 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 49.3% |
| 15 (down 5 places since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 48.7% |
| 16 (up 3 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 46.7% |
| 17 (up 4 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 46.7% |
| 18 (down 6 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 46.0% |
| 19 (up 9 places since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 45.3% |
| 20 (up 3 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 44.0% |
| 21 (down 14 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 42.0% |
| 22 (up 7 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 42.0% |
| 23 (up 4 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 41.3% |
| 24 (up 6 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 40.7% |
| 25 (down 12 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 40.0% |
| 26 (down 11 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 40.0% |
| 27 (down 18 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 40.0% |
| 28 (up 4 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 40.0% |
| 29 (down 4 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 38.7% |
| 30 (down 6 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 36.0% |
| 31 (down 9 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 35.3% |
| 32 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 28.0% |