NFL Power Rankings: Week 5, 2026

Week 5

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 5, 2026: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
TeamRankWin Rate
13up 3 positions67.3%
2no change66.0%
32down 2 positions62.0%
44up 4 positions58.0%
513up 13 positions58.0%
63down 3 positions56.0%
710up 10 positions55.3%
82down 2 positions55.3%
911up 11 positions54.0%
1016up 16 positions54.0%
116down 6 positions53.3%
124up 4 positions51.3%
131up 1 positions51.3%
143down 3 positions49.3%
155down 5 positions48.7%
163up 3 positions46.7%
174up 4 positions46.7%
186down 6 positions46.0%
199up 9 positions45.3%
203up 3 positions44.0%
2114down 14 positions42.0%
227up 7 positions42.0%
234up 4 positions41.3%
246up 6 positions40.7%
2512down 12 positions40.0%
2611down 11 positions40.0%
2718down 18 positions40.0%
284up 4 positions40.0%
294down 4 positions38.7%
306down 6 positions36.0%
319down 9 positions35.3%
321down 1 positions28.0%