NFL Power Rankings: Super Bowl, 2022

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Super Bowl, 2022: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 1 place since last week)PHI77.0%
2 (down 1 place since last week)BUF75.0%
3 (up 4 places since last week)CIN66.0%
4 (no change since last week)KAN61.0%
5 (up 3 places since last week)DET60.0%
6 (down 1 place since last week)DAL59.0%
7 (up 5 places since last week)WAS58.0%
8 (up 2 places since last week)BAL56.0%
9 (up 5 places since last week)SEA52.0%
10 (down 7 places since last week)SFO52.0%
11 (up 7 places since last week)NYJ51.0%
12 (down 6 places since last week)ATL51.0%
13 (up 3 places since last week)NYG50.0%
14 (up 9 places since last week)MIA49.0%
15 (up 7 places since last week)LVR49.0%
16 (down 3 places since last week)JAX47.0%
17 (up 8 places since last week)MIN47.0%
18 (down 7 places since last week)LAC47.0%
19 (up 1 place since last week)CLE47.0%
20 (down 1 place since last week)PIT46.0%
21 (down 4 places since last week)GNB46.0%
22 (up 7 places since last week)TEN44.0%
23 (down 2 places since last week)NWE43.0%
24 (up 4 places since last week)TAM43.0%
25 (down 1 place since last week)LAR41.0%
26 (down 11 places since last week)CHI40.0%
27 (down 18 places since last week)NOR39.0%
28 (up 3 places since last week)DEN38.0%
29 (up 1 place since last week)CAR38.0%
30 (down 3 places since last week)ARI38.0%
31 (down 5 places since last week)HOU34.0%
32 (no change since last week)IND28.0%