NFL Power Rankings: Week 9, 2023

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 9, 2023: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 1 place since last week)MIA70.0%
2 (down 1 place since last week)SFO66.0%
3 (up 5 places since last week)DAL63.0%
4 (up 5 places since last week)MIN61.0%
5 (up 11 places since last week)DET60.0%
6 (down 1 place since last week)BAL60.0%
7 (up 4 places since last week)CHI58.0%
8 (up 10 places since last week)CLE58.0%
9 (down 6 places since last week)KAN57.0%
10 (up 11 places since last week)NOR57.0%
11 (down 4 places since last week)BUF56.0%
12 (down 2 places since last week)PHI55.0%
13 (down 7 places since last week)HOU53.0%
14 (up 3 places since last week)LAC52.0%
15 (up 5 places since last week)SEA51.0%
16 (up 3 places since last week)IND51.0%
17 (down 2 places since last week)LVR50.0%
18 (down 6 places since last week)JAX49.0%
19 (down 15 places since last week)ATL49.0%
20 (up 7 places since last week)PIT47.0%
21 (down 7 places since last week)ARI47.0%
22 (down 9 places since last week)CAR45.0%
23 (down 1 place since last week)LAR44.0%
24 (up 2 places since last week)DEN44.0%
25 (up 4 places since last week)WAS42.0%
26 (down 2 places since last week)GNB38.0%
27 (down 4 places since last week)TAM36.0%
28 (up 3 places since last week)CIN35.0%
29 (down 4 places since last week)TEN35.0%
30 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ33.0%
31 (up 1 place since last week)NWE31.0%
32 (down 2 places since last week)NYG29.0%