2023

Week 4

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Buffalo Bills	BUF	17up 7 positions	0.78
Cleveland Browns	CLE	2no change	0.78
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	3no change	0.75
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	43down 3 positions	0.66
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	5no change	0.64
Miami Dolphins	MIA	617up 17 positions	0.62
Indianapolis Colts	IND	717up 17 positions	0.58
Green Bay Packers	GNB	811up 11 positions	0.58
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	9no change	0.57
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	106up 6 positions	0.57
Detroit Lions	DET	1116up 16 positions	0.55
Houston Texans	HOU	128up 8 positions	0.54
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	133down 3 positions	0.54
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	142down 2 positions	0.54
Carolina Panthers	CAR	158down 8 positions	0.50
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	166up 6 positions	0.49
New York Giants	NYG	1715up 15 positions	0.49
New York Jets	NYJ	184down 4 positions	0.49
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	192up 2 positions	0.48
Tennessee Titans	TEN	209down 9 positions	0.48
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	213down 3 positions	0.47
New England Patriots	NWE	224up 4 positions	0.47
New Orleans Saints	NOR	2319down 19 positions	0.47
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	249down 9 positions	0.45
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	253up 3 positions	0.45
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	269down 9 positions	0.45
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	274up 4 positions	0.44
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	2822down 22 positions	0.41
Washington Commanders	WAS	2916down 16 positions	0.40
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	30no change	0.36
Denver Broncos	DEN	316down 6 positions	0.33
Chicago Bears	CHI	323down 3 positions	0.32