NFL Power Rankings: Week 13, 2024

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 13, 2024: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)DET79.0%
2 (up 2 places since last week)PHI76.6%
3 (down 1 place since last week)BUF71.0%
4 (up 5 places since last week)GNB70.8%
5 (down 2 places since last week)MIN68.8%
6 (no change since last week)BAL68.4%
7 (down 2 places since last week)LAC67.0%
8 (up 4 places since last week)TAM66.4%
9 (down 2 places since last week)KAN65.8%
10 (no change since last week)ARI60.0%
11 (no change since last week)PIT59.2%
12 (down 4 places since last week)WAS57.8%
13 (up 2 places since last week)IND56.8%
14 (down 1 place since last week)DEN55.4%
15 (down 1 place since last week)SFO53.8%
16 (up 2 places since last week)HOU53.6%
17 (down 1 place since last week)SEA53.6%
18 (down 1 place since last week)CHI52.8%
19 (up 1 place since last week)MIA52.8%
20 (up 2 places since last week)CIN50.0%
21 (down 2 places since last week)LAR48.6%
22 (down 1 place since last week)NOR48.0%
23 (up 1 place since last week)ATL43.8%
24 (up 3 places since last week)TEN40.6%
25 (down 2 places since last week)NYG38.6%
26 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ38.0%
27 (down 1 place since last week)LVR37.4%
28 (no change since last week)DAL33.8%
29 (up 1 place since last week)JAX32.8%
30 (down 1 place since last week)NWE30.8%
31 (no change since last week)CLE25.0%
32 (no change since last week)CAR21.8%