NFL Power Rankings: Week 9, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 76.4% |
| 2 (up 4 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 75.2% |
| 3 (down 1 place since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 72.2% |
| 4 (down 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 72.0% |
| 5 (down 1 place since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 68.2% |
| 6 (up 1 place since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 65.6% |
| 7 (down 2 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 64.8% |
| 8 (no change since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 63.6% |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 63.0% |
| 10 (up 4 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 61.2% |
| 11 (no change since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 61.0% |
| 12 (no change since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 58.6% |
| 13 (down 3 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 58.2% |
| 14 (up 2 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 56.2% |
| 15 (up 4 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 56.0% |
| 16 (up 1 place since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 55.2% |
| 17 (down 4 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 53.8% |
| 18 (down 3 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 53.6% |
| 19 (up 1 place since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 49.2% |
| 20 (up 1 place since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 46.8% |
| 21 (down 3 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 43.0% |
| 22 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 42.8% |
| 23 (down 1 place since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 42.4% |
| 24 (up 1 place since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 42.0% |
| 25 (down 1 place since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 41.4% |
| 26 (no change since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 39.8% |
| 27 (no change since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 36.8% |
| 28 (up 2 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 36.4% |
| 29 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 28.8% |
| 30 (down 1 place since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 26.6% |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 23.0% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 15.4% |