NFL Power Rankings: Week 15, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 15, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)LAR77.3%
2 (up 5 places since last week)JAX76.0%
3 (up 2 places since last week)HOU75.3%
4 (up 4 places since last week)LAC72.0%
5 (down 3 places since last week)IND72.0%
6 (no change since last week)SEA69.3%
7 (down 3 places since last week)KAN67.3%
8 (up 10 places since last week)NWE66.0%
9 (no change since last week)DET66.0%
10 (down 7 places since last week)BUF62.0%
11 (no change since last week)GNB58.7%
12 (up 7 places since last week)MIA57.3%
13 (down 3 places since last week)DEN55.3%
14 (down 2 places since last week)PHI55.3%
15 (down 2 places since last week)SFO53.3%
16 (down 2 places since last week)DAL50.0%
17 (up 4 places since last week)CHI49.3%
18 (down 1 place since last week)PIT48.7%
19 (up 1 place since last week)NYG48.0%
20 (up 4 places since last week)MIN46.7%
21 (down 6 places since last week)BAL44.7%
22 (down 6 places since last week)ATL42.0%
23 (down 1 place since last week)TAM42.0%
24 (up 3 places since last week)CLE39.3%
25 (no change since last week)CAR38.7%
26 (no change since last week)ARI38.7%
27 (up 1 place since last week)NOR37.3%
28 (up 3 places since last week)LVR34.7%
29 (down 6 places since last week)WAS33.3%
30 (down 1 place since last week)CIN28.7%
31 (up 1 place since last week)TEN25.3%
32 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ24.7%