NFL Power Rankings: Week 10, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 76.0% |
| 2 (up 2 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 73.8% |
| 3 (up 2 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 70.4% |
| 4 (down 1 place since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 69.0% |
| 5 (up 6 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 64.8% |
| 6 (up 1 place since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 64.6% |
| 7 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 64.6% |
| 8 (up 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 63.8% |
| 9 (down 3 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 63.6% |
| 10 (down 8 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 62.0% |
| 11 (up 2 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 61.6% |
| 12 (up 2 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 57.6% |
| 13 (down 3 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 57.0% |
| 14 (up 3 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 55.6% |
| 15 (down 3 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 55.2% |
| 16 (down 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 53.6% |
| 17 (up 1 place since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 53.2% |
| 18 (down 2 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 51.0% |
| 19 (up 1 place since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 48.8% |
| 20 (down 1 place since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 48.4% |
| 21 (no change since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 46.6% |
| 22 (up 1 place since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 45.4% |
| 23 (down 1 place since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 42.8% |
| 24 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 42.0% |
| 25 (down 1 place since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 41.2% |
| 26 (up 3 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 40.8% |
| 27 (no change since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 37.8% |
| 28 (down 2 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 36.8% |
| 29 (down 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 32.4% |
| 30 (no change since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 24.2% |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 21.6% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 16.0% |