2023

Divisional Round

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	1no change	0.78
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	22up 2 positions	0.73
Green Bay Packers	GNB	315up 15 positions	0.71
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	43up 3 positions	0.66
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	52down 2 positions	0.65
Miami Dolphins	MIA	61down 1 positions	0.65
Buffalo Bills	BUF	71up 1 positions	0.58
Tennessee Titans	TEN	815up 15 positions	0.58
Detroit Lions	DET	97down 7 positions	0.58
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	109up 9 positions	0.58
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	115down 5 positions	0.57
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	123down 3 positions	0.57
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	132down 2 positions	0.55
Houston Texans	HOU	14no change	0.55
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	15no change	0.54
New Orleans Saints	NOR	163down 3 positions	0.53
Cleveland Browns	CLE	175up 5 positions	0.53
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	186up 6 positions	0.51
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	197up 7 positions	0.49
Chicago Bears	CHI	203down 3 positions	0.49
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	211down 1 positions	0.47
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	2212down 12 positions	0.47
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	232up 2 positions	0.46
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	244up 4 positions	0.46
Indianapolis Colts	IND	2513down 13 positions	0.43
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	265down 5 positions	0.40
Denver Broncos	DEN	2711down 11 positions	0.40
Carolina Panthers	CAR	281up 1 positions	0.38
New York Jets	NYJ	292down 2 positions	0.34
New York Giants	NYG	30no change	0.30
Washington Commanders	WAS	31no change	0.29
New England Patriots	NWE	32no change	0.28