2023

Divisional Round

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	1	0.78
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	22	0.73
Green Bay Packers	GNB	315	0.71
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	43	0.66
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	52	0.65
Miami Dolphins	MIA	61	0.65
Buffalo Bills	BUF	71	0.58
Tennessee Titans	TEN	815	0.58
Detroit Lions	DET	97	0.58
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	109	0.58
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	115	0.57
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	123	0.57
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	132	0.55
Houston Texans	HOU	14	0.55
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	15	0.54
New Orleans Saints	NOR	163	0.53
Cleveland Browns	CLE	175	0.53
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	186	0.51
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	197	0.49
Chicago Bears	CHI	203	0.49
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	211	0.47
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	2212	0.47
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	232	0.46
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	244	0.46
Indianapolis Colts	IND	2513	0.43
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	265	0.40
Denver Broncos	DEN	2711	0.40
Carolina Panthers	CAR	281	0.38
New York Jets	NYJ	292	0.34
New York Giants	NYG	30	0.30
Washington Commanders	WAS	31	0.29
New England Patriots	NWE	32	0.28