NFL Power Rankings: Week 16, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 78.8% |
| 2 (up 3 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 75.2% |
| 3 (down 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 74.2% |
| 4 (up 2 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 72.4% |
| 5 (down 2 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 71.4% |
| 6 (down 2 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 70.8% |
| 7 (no change since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 68.6% |
| 8 (up 2 places since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 63.4% |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 59.6% |
| 10 (down 2 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 59.0% |
| 11 (up 2 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 58.4% |
| 12 (down 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 57.6% |
| 13 (up 7 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 55.2% |
| 14 (up 4 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 54.8% |
| 15 (up 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 53.8% |
| 16 (down 2 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 51.4% |
| 17 (up 5 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 50.8% |
| 18 (down 6 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 50.8% |
| 19 (no change since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 50.2% |
| 20 (down 3 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 50.0% |
| 21 (down 6 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 50.0% |
| 22 (down 1 place since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 44.8% |
| 23 (no change since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 44.6% |
| 24 (up 1 place since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 37.4% |
| 25 (up 3 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 34.2% |
| 26 (no change since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 34.2% |
| 27 (up 3 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 33.2% |
| 28 (up 1 place since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 32.6% |
| 29 (down 5 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 32.6% |
| 30 (down 3 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 32.0% |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 27.8% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 20.8% |