NFL Power Rankings: Super Bowl, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 2 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 81.0% |
| 2 (no change since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 77.8% |
| 3 (down 2 places since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 77.4% |
| 4 (up 2 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 73.4% |
| 5 (down 1 place since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 72.4% |
| 6 (up 1 place since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 71.4% |
| 7 (down 2 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 70.6% |
| 8 (no change since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 68.8% |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 63.4% |
| 10 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 61.6% |
| 11 (up 4 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 60.0% |
| 12 (down 2 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 59.4% |
| 13 (down 1 place since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 54.6% |
| 14 (up 8 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 53.8% |
| 15 (up 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 53.0% |
| 16 (down 3 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 52.6% |
| 17 (up 4 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 52.2% |
| 18 (down 4 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 50.6% |
| 19 (no change since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 49.8% |
| 20 (down 3 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 48.6% |
| 21 (down 1 place since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 46.6% |
| 22 (down 4 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 42.0% |
| 23 (no change since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 41.6% |
| 24 (no change since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 40.4% |
| 25 (no change since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 39.6% |
| 26 (up 4 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 36.2% |
| 27 (up 1 place since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 34.8% |
| 28 (down 2 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 34.0% |
| 29 (no change since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 33.6% |
| 30 (down 3 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 32.2% |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 25.2% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 20.8% |