2024

Super Bowl

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	12up 2 positions	0.81
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	2no change	0.78
Detroit Lions	DET	32down 2 positions	0.77
Green Bay Packers	GNB	42up 2 positions	0.73
Buffalo Bills	BUF	51down 1 positions	0.72
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	61up 1 positions	0.71
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	72down 2 positions	0.71
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	8no change	0.69
Washington Commanders	WAS	9no change	0.63
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	101up 1 positions	0.62
Denver Broncos	DEN	114up 4 positions	0.60
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	122down 2 positions	0.59
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	131down 1 positions	0.55
Miami Dolphins	MIA	148up 8 positions	0.54
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	151up 1 positions	0.53
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	163down 3 positions	0.53
Houston Texans	HOU	174up 4 positions	0.52
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	184down 4 positions	0.51
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	19no change	0.50
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	203down 3 positions	0.49
Chicago Bears	CHI	211down 1 positions	0.47
Indianapolis Colts	IND	224down 4 positions	0.42
New Orleans Saints	NOR	23no change	0.42
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	24no change	0.40
New York Jets	NYJ	25no change	0.40
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	264up 4 positions	0.36
Tennessee Titans	TEN	271up 1 positions	0.35
New England Patriots	NWE	282down 2 positions	0.34
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	29no change	0.34
New York Giants	NYG	303down 3 positions	0.32
Cleveland Browns	CLE	31no change	0.25
Carolina Panthers	CAR	32no change	0.21