2024

Conference Championship

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Detroit Lions	DET	12up 2 positions	0.79
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	21down 1 positions	0.79
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	31down 1 positions	0.76
Buffalo Bills	BUF	4no change	0.75
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	5no change	0.71
Green Bay Packers	GNB	6no change	0.71
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	7no change	0.65
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	8no change	0.63
Washington Commanders	WAS	92up 2 positions	0.63
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	101down 1 positions	0.61
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	111up 1 positions	0.61
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	121up 1 positions	0.55
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	132up 2 positions	0.55
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	143up 3 positions	0.54
Denver Broncos	DEN	151down 1 positions	0.54
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	166down 6 positions	0.52
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	171up 1 positions	0.51
Indianapolis Colts	IND	183up 3 positions	0.50
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	19no change	0.50
Chicago Bears	CHI	203up 3 positions	0.45
Houston Texans	HOU	215down 5 positions	0.45
Miami Dolphins	MIA	222down 2 positions	0.45
New Orleans Saints	NOR	231down 1 positions	0.43
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	242up 2 positions	0.39
New York Jets	NYJ	251down 1 positions	0.39
New England Patriots	NWE	261down 1 positions	0.35
New York Giants	NYG	273up 3 positions	0.33
Tennessee Titans	TEN	281up 1 positions	0.33
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	292down 2 positions	0.31
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	302down 2 positions	0.30
Cleveland Browns	CLE	311up 1 positions	0.26
Carolina Panthers	CAR	321down 1 positions	0.23