NFL Power Rankings: Week 4, 2026
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 67.3% |
| 2 |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 61.3% |
| 3 |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 61.3% |
| 4 |  Chicago BearsCHI | 60.0% |
| 5 |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 58.0% |
| 6 |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 54.7% |
| 7 |  New York JetsNYJ | 52.7% |
| 8 |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 52.7% |
| 9 |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 52.0% |
| 10 |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 52.0% |
| 11 |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 51.3% |
| 12 |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 49.3% |
| 13 |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 48.7% |
| 14 |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 48.7% |
| 15 |  New York GiantsNYG | 47.3% |
| 16 |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 46.7% |
| 17 |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 46.7% |
| 18 |  New England PatriotsNWE | 46.0% |
| 19 |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 46.0% |
| 20 |  Detroit LionsDET | 46.0% |
| 21 |  Houston TexansHOU | 45.3% |
| 22 |  Denver BroncosDEN | 44.7% |
| 23 |  Washington CommandersWAS | 44.0% |
| 24 |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 43.3% |
| 25 |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 42.7% |
| 26 |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 42.7% |
| 27 |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 41.3% |
| 28 |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 40.0% |
| 29 |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 39.3% |
| 30 |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 36.7% |
| 31 |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 34.7% |
| 32 |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 31.3% |