NFL Power Rankings: Week 11, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 11, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 1 place since last week)LAR72.7%
2 (up 2 places since last week)DEN72.7%
3 (up 5 places since last week)BUF68.0%
4 (down 1 place since last week)LAC66.0%
5 (up 7 places since last week)PHI65.3%
6 (down 1 place since last week)KAN65.3%
7 (no change since last week)HOU64.7%
8 (down 7 places since last week)IND64.7%
9 (up 2 places since last week)SEA64.0%
10 (down 1 place since last week)GNB58.7%
11 (up 4 places since last week)NWE58.7%
12 (up 4 places since last week)ATL56.0%
13 (down 7 places since last week)DET56.0%
14 (up 10 places since last week)MIN54.7%
15 (down 1 place since last week)TAM54.0%
16 (down 6 places since last week)SFO50.7%
17 (up 3 places since last week)NYG48.7%
18 (down 5 places since last week)JAX48.0%
19 (no change since last week)PIT48.0%
20 (up 7 places since last week)DAL46.7%
21 (down 3 places since last week)MIA45.3%
22 (up 6 places since last week)LVR44.7%
23 (up 6 places since last week)NOR44.7%
24 (down 1 place since last week)WAS42.7%
25 (down 8 places since last week)CHI42.7%
26 (down 4 places since last week)BAL42.7%
27 (down 6 places since last week)CAR41.3%
28 (down 2 places since last week)NYJ40.7%
29 (up 2 places since last week)CLE38.0%
30 (down 5 places since last week)ARI38.0%
31 (down 1 place since last week)CIN32.0%
32 (no change since last week)TEN32.0%