NFL Power Rankings: Week 10, 2026
Every team ranked by how often it wins 10,000 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 63.6% |
| 2 (down 1 place since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 62.2% |
| 3 (up 4 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 61.4% |
| 4 (no change since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 60.7% |
| 5 (no change since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 59.9% |
| 6 (down 3 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 59.9% |
| 7 (up 1 place since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 58.6% |
| 8 (up 1 place since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 57.3% |
| 9 (down 3 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 56.0% |
| 10 (up 8 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 52.8% |
| 11 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 52.4% |
| 12 (down 2 places since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 52.2% |
| 13 (no change since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 51.6% |
| 14 (down 3 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 50.8% |
| 15 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 49.1% |
| 16 (down 2 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 48.8% |
| 17 (down 1 place since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 48.4% |
| 18 (up 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 47.2% |
| 19 (down 2 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 44.2% |
| 20 (no change since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 44.1% |
| 21 (up 1 place since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 44.1% |
| 22 (up 6 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 42.8% |
| 23 (up 3 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 42.5% |
| 24 (no change since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 41.9% |
| 25 (down 4 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 41.8% |
| 26 (down 1 place since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 41.8% |
| 27 (down 4 places since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 41.4% |
| 28 (up 3 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 40.1% |
| 29 (down 2 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 40.1% |
| 30 (up 2 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 38.4% |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 37.8% |
| 32 (down 3 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 37.3% |