NFL Power Rankings: Week 14, 2022

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 14, 2022: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)BUF78.0%
2 (up 2 places since last week)PHI74.0%
3 (up 3 places since last week)CIN69.0%
4 (down 2 places since last week)SFO68.0%
5 (down 2 places since last week)KAN63.0%
6 (down 1 place since last week)BAL62.0%
7 (up 12 places since last week)SEA58.0%
8 (up 9 places since last week)CLE58.0%
9 (down 2 places since last week)DAL58.0%
10 (up 11 places since last week)MIN57.0%
11 (down 1 place since last week)WAS56.0%
12 (down 1 place since last week)DET54.0%
13 (down 4 places since last week)MIA53.0%
14 (no change since last week)NYJ52.0%
15 (down 2 places since last week)ARI52.0%
16 (up 4 places since last week)LVR46.0%
17 (up 9 places since last week)ATL46.0%
18 (up 7 places since last week)CHI46.0%
19 (up 4 places since last week)GNB46.0%
20 (down 12 places since last week)TAM45.0%
21 (up 9 places since last week)PIT45.0%
22 (down 10 places since last week)JAX45.0%
23 (down 8 places since last week)NOR43.0%
24 (up 5 places since last week)LAR42.0%
25 (down 3 places since last week)LAC42.0%
26 (down 2 places since last week)NYG42.0%
27 (down 11 places since last week)DEN41.0%
28 (down 1 place since last week)NWE39.0%
29 (up 2 places since last week)IND37.0%
30 (down 12 places since last week)TEN37.0%
31 (down 3 places since last week)CAR30.0%
32 (no change since last week)HOU25.0%