NFL Power Rankings: Week 14, 2023

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 14, 2023: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 1 place since last week)MIA70.0%
2 (down 1 place since last week)DAL69.0%
3 (up 7 places since last week)DET67.0%
4 (no change since last week)KAN66.0%
5 (down 2 places since last week)SFO65.0%
6 (up 6 places since last week)BUF65.0%
7 (down 2 places since last week)MIN63.0%
8 (up 8 places since last week)JAX61.0%
9 (up 6 places since last week)PHI59.0%
10 (up 7 places since last week)CLE59.0%
11 (up 14 places since last week)LAR56.0%
12 (down 3 places since last week)HOU56.0%
13 (up 10 places since last week)BAL55.0%
14 (down 3 places since last week)LAC53.0%
15 (up 6 places since last week)NOR52.0%
16 (up 8 places since last week)TAM52.0%
17 (down 9 places since last week)GNB48.0%
18 (down 12 places since last week)CHI48.0%
19 (down 5 places since last week)TEN47.0%
20 (up 7 places since last week)SEA46.0%
21 (up 7 places since last week)CIN46.0%
22 (down 15 places since last week)ATL46.0%
23 (up 3 places since last week)CAR43.0%
24 (down 6 places since last week)DEN42.0%
25 (down 5 places since last week)WAS41.0%
26 (down 4 places since last week)IND41.0%
27 (down 14 places since last week)LVR40.0%
28 (up 2 places since last week)NYJ38.0%
29 (no change since last week)ARI38.0%
30 (up 1 place since last week)NWE36.0%
31 (down 12 places since last week)PIT32.0%
32 (no change since last week)NYG20.0%