NFL Power Rankings: Week 10, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 10, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 1 place since last week)IND72.7%
2 (up 1 place since last week)LAR70.0%
3 (up 1 place since last week)LAC70.0%
4 (up 1 place since last week)DEN68.7%
5 (down 4 places since last week)KAN66.7%
6 (up 1 place since last week)DET61.3%
7 (down 1 place since last week)HOU60.7%
8 (no change since last week)BUF60.0%
9 (no change since last week)GNB59.3%
10 (up 2 places since last week)SFO58.0%
11 (up 2 places since last week)SEA56.0%
12 (down 1 place since last week)PHI56.0%
13 (up 4 places since last week)JAX54.7%
14 (up 7 places since last week)TAM52.0%
15 (down 1 place since last week)NWE51.3%
16 (up 3 places since last week)ATL50.0%
17 (up 11 places since last week)CHI49.3%
18 (down 2 places since last week)MIA47.3%
19 (up 1 place since last week)PIT47.3%
20 (down 5 places since last week)NYG46.7%
21 (up 2 places since last week)CAR45.3%
22 (up 4 places since last week)BAL45.3%
23 (down 1 place since last week)WAS44.7%
24 (down 6 places since last week)MIN43.3%
25 (down 1 place since last week)ARI42.7%
26 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ42.7%
27 (down 17 places since last week)DAL42.0%
28 (down 1 place since last week)LVR41.3%
29 (no change since last week)NOR39.3%
30 (no change since last week)CIN32.7%
31 (up 1 place since last week)CLE30.0%
32 (down 1 place since last week)TEN23.3%