NFL Power Rankings: Week 12, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 77.8% |
| 2 (up 2 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 72.8% |
| 3 (no change since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 72.4% |
| 4 (up 1 place since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 70.6% |
| 5 (up 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 67.4% |
| 6 (down 5 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 66.6% |
| 7 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 65.6% |
| 8 (down 2 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 64.0% |
| 9 (no change since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 63.6% |
| 10 (no change since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 61.0% |
| 11 (up 1 place since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 60.8% |
| 12 (down 1 place since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 59.6% |
| 13 (up 9 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 57.0% |
| 14 (down 1 place since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 56.0% |
| 15 (up 6 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 54.0% |
| 16 (no change since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 53.0% |
| 17 (down 2 places since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 52.6% |
| 18 (down 4 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 52.4% |
| 19 (down 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 52.4% |
| 20 (up 3 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 48.6% |
| 21 (down 2 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 48.4% |
| 22 (down 4 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 48.0% |
| 23 (up 2 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 45.4% |
| 24 (down 4 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 44.4% |
| 25 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 38.0% |
| 26 (up 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 36.2% |
| 27 (down 3 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 34.6% |
| 28 (up 2 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 32.6% |
| 29 (no change since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 30.8% |
| 30 (down 2 places since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 30.4% |
| 31 (no change since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 23.0% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 19.4% |