NFL Power Rankings: Week 5, 2022

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 5, 2022: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)BUF72.0%
2 (no change since last week)PHI67.0%
3 (up 12 places since last week)ATL66.0%
4 (up 13 places since last week)KAN63.0%
5 (up 3 places since last week)BAL59.0%
6 (up 20 places since last week)NYJ58.0%
7 (up 11 places since last week)LVR57.0%
8 (down 2 places since last week)TAM56.0%
9 (no change since last week)CIN56.0%
10 (down 5 places since last week)GNB56.0%
11 (up 1 place since last week)CHI55.0%
12 (up 8 places since last week)SFO55.0%
13 (up 11 places since last week)NWE54.0%
14 (down 10 places since last week)JAX54.0%
15 (up 15 places since last week)DET51.0%
16 (down 6 places since last week)MIA50.0%
17 (down 10 places since last week)LAR49.0%
18 (down 15 places since last week)DEN49.0%
19 (no change since last week)ARI48.0%
20 (down 9 places since last week)DAL48.0%
21 (up 11 places since last week)LAC47.0%
22 (down 8 places since last week)CLE47.0%
23 (no change since last week)TEN46.0%
24 (up 3 places since last week)NYG45.0%
25 (down 12 places since last week)CAR45.0%
26 (up 5 places since last week)PIT44.0%
27 (up 1 place since last week)SEA44.0%
28 (down 6 places since last week)NOR41.0%
29 (down 4 places since last week)MIN39.0%
30 (down 1 place since last week)IND37.0%
31 (down 15 places since last week)HOU34.0%
32 (down 11 places since last week)WAS32.0%