NFL Power Rankings: Week 14, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Week 14, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (no change since last week)LAR74.7%
2 (up 5 places since last week)IND72.7%
3 (up 3 places since last week)BUF72.0%
4 (down 2 places since last week)KAN72.0%
5 (down 2 places since last week)HOU68.7%
6 (down 2 places since last week)SEA66.0%
7 (up 3 places since last week)JAX63.3%
8 (up 1 place since last week)LAC62.0%
9 (down 4 places since last week)DET59.3%
10 (up 1 place since last week)DEN58.0%
11 (down 3 places since last week)GNB58.0%
12 (up 2 places since last week)PHI55.3%
13 (no change since last week)SFO54.0%
14 (up 2 places since last week)DAL52.7%
15 (up 5 places since last week)BAL50.7%
16 (up 3 places since last week)ATL50.0%
17 (up 4 places since last week)PIT50.0%
18 (down 6 places since last week)NWE48.7%
19 (down 2 places since last week)MIA48.0%
20 (up 4 places since last week)NYG46.7%
21 (up 2 places since last week)CHI45.3%
22 (down 4 places since last week)TAM42.0%
23 (up 4 places since last week)WAS41.3%
24 (down 9 places since last week)MIN38.7%
25 (no change since last week)CAR38.7%
26 (down 4 places since last week)ARI38.0%
27 (up 1 place since last week)CLE38.0%
28 (up 1 place since last week)NOR36.0%
29 (up 1 place since last week)CIN33.3%
30 (down 4 places since last week)NYJ31.3%
31 (no change since last week)LVR30.0%
32 (no change since last week)TEN24.0%