2025

Wild Card

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	14up 4 positions	0.77
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	21down 1 positions	0.74
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	31down 1 positions	0.72
Detroit Lions	DET	45up 5 positions	0.68
Buffalo Bills	BUF	52down 2 positions	0.68
New England Patriots	NWE	61up 1 positions	0.67
Denver Broncos	DEN	71up 1 positions	0.66
Houston Texans	HOU	84down 4 positions	0.64
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	94up 4 positions	0.63
Indianapolis Colts	IND	101up 1 positions	0.59
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	111up 1 positions	0.59
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	122down 2 positions	0.58
Green Bay Packers	GNB	131up 1 positions	0.57
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	148down 8 positions	0.57
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	151up 1 positions	0.57
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	161up 1 positions	0.55
Chicago Bears	CHI	173up 3 positions	0.54
New York Giants	NYG	183up 3 positions	0.49
Miami Dolphins	MIA	194up 4 positions	0.49
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	204up 4 positions	0.48
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	213down 3 positions	0.47
Washington Commanders	WAS	225up 5 positions	0.45
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	231down 1 positions	0.44
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	249down 9 positions	0.43
New Orleans Saints	NOR	251up 1 positions	0.41
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	261down 1 positions	0.41
Carolina Panthers	CAR	278down 8 positions	0.39
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	283up 3 positions	0.33
Cleveland Browns	CLE	291up 1 positions	0.32
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	301down 1 positions	0.32
Tennessee Titans	TEN	313down 3 positions	0.25
New York Jets	NYJ	32no change	0.17