2023

Conference Championship

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	11	0.69
Miami Dolphins	MIA	24	0.64
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	32	0.64
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	41	0.63
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	56	0.60
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	62	0.60
Detroit Lions	DET	72	0.56
Indianapolis Colts	IND	817	0.56
Buffalo Bills	BUF	92	0.55
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	1011	0.54
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	114	0.54
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	121	0.52
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	1310	0.50
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	142	0.50
Houston Texans	HOU	151	0.50
Green Bay Packers	GNB	1613	0.50
New Orleans Saints	NOR	171	0.49
Cleveland Browns	CLE	181	0.46
Tennessee Titans	TEN	1911	0.45
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	201	0.44
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	215	0.43
Denver Broncos	DEN	225	0.40
Chicago Bears	CHI	233	0.40
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	242	0.39
Washington Commanders	WAS	256	0.37
Carolina Panthers	CAR	262	0.37
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	2717	0.36
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	284	0.35
New York Giants	NYG	291	0.29
New York Jets	NYJ	301	0.28
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	3113	0.28
New England Patriots	NWE	32	0.18