2023

Conference Championship

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	11up 1 positions	0.69
Miami Dolphins	MIA	24up 4 positions	0.64
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	32down 2 positions	0.64
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	41up 1 positions	0.63
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	56up 6 positions	0.60
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	62down 2 positions	0.60
Detroit Lions	DET	72up 2 positions	0.56
Indianapolis Colts	IND	817up 17 positions	0.56
Buffalo Bills	BUF	92down 2 positions	0.55
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	1011up 11 positions	0.54
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	114up 4 positions	0.54
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	121up 1 positions	0.52
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	1310up 10 positions	0.50
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	142down 2 positions	0.50
Houston Texans	HOU	151down 1 positions	0.50
Green Bay Packers	GNB	1613down 13 positions	0.50
New Orleans Saints	NOR	171down 1 positions	0.49
Cleveland Browns	CLE	181down 1 positions	0.46
Tennessee Titans	TEN	1911down 11 positions	0.45
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	201down 1 positions	0.44
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	215up 5 positions	0.43
Denver Broncos	DEN	225up 5 positions	0.40
Chicago Bears	CHI	233down 3 positions	0.40
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	242down 2 positions	0.39
Washington Commanders	WAS	256up 6 positions	0.37
Carolina Panthers	CAR	262up 2 positions	0.37
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	2717down 17 positions	0.36
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	284down 4 positions	0.35
New York Giants	NYG	291up 1 positions	0.29
New York Jets	NYJ	301down 1 positions	0.28
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	3113down 13 positions	0.28
New England Patriots	NWE	32no change	0.18