2022

Conference Championship

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Buffalo Bills	BUF	12up 2 positions	0.77
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	21down 1 positions	0.71
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	33up 3 positions	0.70
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	4no change	0.66
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	53down 3 positions	0.64
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	614up 14 positions	0.64
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	72down 2 positions	0.62
Detroit Lions	DET	87up 7 positions	0.60
New Orleans Saints	NOR	93up 3 positions	0.55
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	102down 2 positions	0.55
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	1110up 10 positions	0.54
Washington Commanders	WAS	1211up 11 positions	0.54
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	133up 3 positions	0.53
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	145down 5 positions	0.53
Chicago Bears	CHI	152down 2 positions	0.50
New York Giants	NYG	169down 9 positions	0.50
Green Bay Packers	GNB	179up 9 positions	0.49
New York Jets	NYJ	188down 8 positions	0.49
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	193up 3 positions	0.48
Cleveland Browns	CLE	209down 9 positions	0.47
New England Patriots	NWE	213down 3 positions	0.46
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	222up 2 positions	0.45
Miami Dolphins	MIA	234down 4 positions	0.44
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	2410down 10 positions	0.43
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	258down 8 positions	0.42
Houston Texans	HOU	266up 6 positions	0.42
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	273up 3 positions	0.42
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	281down 1 positions	0.38
Tennessee Titans	TEN	291down 1 positions	0.38
Carolina Panthers	CAR	301down 1 positions	0.37
Denver Broncos	DEN	316down 6 positions	0.34
Indianapolis Colts	IND	321down 1 positions	0.29