NFL Power Rankings: Week 9, 2026
Every team ranked by how often it wins 10,000 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 3 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 61.6% |
| 2 (no change since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 61.4% |
| 3 (no change since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 60.8% |
| 4 (down 3 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 60.6% |
| 5 (up 1 place since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 59.5% |
| 6 (down 1 place since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 58.5% |
| 7 (up 1 place since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 57.5% |
| 8 (down 1 place since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 57.0% |
| 9 (up 6 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 52.6% |
| 10 (no change since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 52.2% |
| 11 (up 5 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 51.7% |
| 12 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 51.6% |
| 13 (down 1 place since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 51.5% |
| 14 (up 4 places since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 51.3% |
| 15 (down 6 places since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 50.5% |
| 16 (down 5 places since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 50.0% |
| 17 (up 2 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 50.0% |
| 18 (down 1 place since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 49.9% |
| 19 (up 1 place since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 48.2% |
| 20 (down 6 places since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 47.1% |
| 21 (up 2 places since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 46.3% |
| 22 (up 6 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 44.6% |
| 23 (down 1 place since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 43.5% |
| 24 (down 3 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 43.1% |
| 25 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 43.1% |
| 26 (down 2 places since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 42.9% |
| 27 (up 4 places since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 42.9% |
| 28 (up 2 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 42.4% |
| 29 (down 2 places since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 41.2% |
| 30 (down 1 place since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 40.5% |
| 31 (down 6 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 38.9% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 38.7% |