2025

Divisional Round

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	12up 2 positions	0.75
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	2no change	0.75
Buffalo Bills	BUF	32up 2 positions	0.73
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	43down 3 positions	0.71
New England Patriots	NWE	51up 1 positions	0.67
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	66up 6 positions	0.62
Houston Texans	HOU	71up 1 positions	0.61
Indianapolis Colts	IND	82up 2 positions	0.61
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	95up 5 positions	0.61
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	106up 6 positions	0.58
Green Bay Packers	GNB	112up 2 positions	0.57
New Orleans Saints	NOR	1213up 13 positions	0.56
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	134down 4 positions	0.56
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	143down 3 positions	0.56
Detroit Lions	DET	1511down 11 positions	0.55
Denver Broncos	DEN	169down 9 positions	0.53
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	172down 2 positions	0.53
New York Giants	NYG	18no change	0.50
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	197up 7 positions	0.47
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	204up 4 positions	0.47
Chicago Bears	CHI	214down 4 positions	0.46
Cleveland Browns	CLE	227up 7 positions	0.45
Washington Commanders	WAS	231down 1 positions	0.45
Miami Dolphins	MIA	245down 5 positions	0.44
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	252down 2 positions	0.43
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	265down 5 positions	0.43
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	277down 7 positions	0.41
Carolina Panthers	CAR	281down 1 positions	0.39
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	291up 1 positions	0.38
New York Jets	NYJ	302up 2 positions	0.29
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	313down 3 positions	0.29
Tennessee Titans	TEN	321down 1 positions	0.27