NFL Power Rankings: Divisional, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Divisional, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 2 places since last week)LAR75.3%
2 (no change since last week)SEA74.7%
3 (up 2 places since last week)BUF72.7%
4 (down 3 places since last week)JAX71.3%
5 (up 1 place since last week)NWE67.3%
6 (up 6 places since last week)LAC62.0%
7 (up 1 place since last week)HOU61.3%
8 (up 2 places since last week)IND61.3%
9 (up 5 places since last week)KAN60.7%
10 (up 6 places since last week)BAL58.0%
11 (up 2 places since last week)GNB56.7%
12 (up 13 places since last week)NOR56.0%
13 (down 4 places since last week)SFO56.0%
14 (down 3 places since last week)PHI56.0%
15 (down 11 places since last week)DET55.3%
16 (down 9 places since last week)DEN52.7%
17 (down 2 places since last week)MIN52.7%
18 (no change since last week)NYG50.0%
19 (up 7 places since last week)CIN46.7%
20 (up 4 places since last week)DAL46.7%
21 (down 4 places since last week)CHI46.0%
22 (up 7 places since last week)CLE45.3%
23 (down 1 place since last week)WAS44.7%
24 (down 5 places since last week)MIA44.0%
25 (down 2 places since last week)TAM43.3%
26 (down 5 places since last week)PIT42.7%
27 (down 7 places since last week)ATL41.3%
28 (down 1 place since last week)CAR39.3%
29 (up 1 place since last week)ARI38.0%
30 (up 2 places since last week)NYJ29.3%
31 (down 3 places since last week)LVR28.7%
32 (down 1 place since last week)TEN26.7%