2023

Week 5

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Buffalo Bills	BUF	1no change	0.78
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	23up 3 positions	0.71
Detroit Lions	DET	38up 8 positions	0.70
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	4no change	0.66
Miami Dolphins	MIA	51up 1 positions	0.65
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	619up 19 positions	0.62
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	74down 4 positions	0.61
Houston Texans	HOU	84up 4 positions	0.61
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	95up 5 positions	0.57
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	103up 3 positions	0.57
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	1115up 15 positions	0.56
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	122down 2 positions	0.56
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	138up 8 positions	0.55
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	1414up 14 positions	0.54
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	159up 9 positions	0.49
Cleveland Browns	CLE	1614down 14 positions	0.49
Washington Commanders	WAS	1712up 12 positions	0.47
Denver Broncos	DEN	1813up 13 positions	0.46
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	1911up 11 positions	0.46
Carolina Panthers	CAR	205down 5 positions	0.46
Green Bay Packers	GNB	2113down 13 positions	0.45
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	223down 3 positions	0.45
Indianapolis Colts	IND	2316down 16 positions	0.44
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	243up 3 positions	0.44
Tennessee Titans	TEN	255down 5 positions	0.42
New York Jets	NYJ	268down 8 positions	0.41
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	2718down 18 positions	0.40
New Orleans Saints	NOR	285down 5 positions	0.38
New England Patriots	NWE	297down 7 positions	0.35
Chicago Bears	CHI	302up 2 positions	0.32
New York Giants	NYG	3114down 14 positions	0.28
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	3216down 16 positions	0.26