NFL Power Rankings: Week 18, 2024
Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.
| Rank | Team | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (up 1 place since last week) |  Baltimore RavensBAL | 78.8% |
| 2 (down 1 place since last week) |  Detroit LionsDET | 76.8% |
| 3 (up 3 places since last week) |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 74.8% |
| 4 (up 3 places since last week) |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTAM | 72.8% |
| 5 (down 2 places since last week) |  Green Bay PackersGNB | 72.6% |
| 6 (down 2 places since last week) |  Buffalo BillsBUF | 72.4% |
| 7 (down 2 places since last week) |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | 71.0% |
| 8 (up 1 place since last week) |  Kansas City ChiefsKAN | 65.4% |
| 9 (up 1 place since last week) |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 64.6% |
| 10 (down 2 places since last week) |  Washington CommandersWAS | 61.2% |
| 11 (no change since last week) |  Arizona CardinalsARI | 58.2% |
| 12 (up 2 places since last week) |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | 56.4% |
| 13 (up 3 places since last week) |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | 56.2% |
| 14 (down 2 places since last week) |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 55.2% |
| 15 (up 2 places since last week) |  San Francisco 49ersSFO | 52.4% |
| 16 (up 2 places since last week) |  Denver BroncosDEN | 51.6% |
| 17 (up 3 places since last week) |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | 50.8% |
| 18 (down 5 places since last week) |  Miami DolphinsMIA | 50.6% |
| 19 (no change since last week) |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 49.4% |
| 20 (down 5 places since last week) |  Houston TexansHOU | 48.8% |
| 21 (no change since last week) |  Atlanta FalconsATL | 47.0% |
| 22 (no change since last week) |  Chicago BearsCHI | 46.2% |
| 23 (no change since last week) |  New Orleans SaintsNOR | 45.0% |
| 24 (up 1 place since last week) |  New York JetsNYJ | 43.0% |
| 25 (up 2 places since last week) |  Las Vegas RaidersLVR | 40.2% |
| 26 (down 2 places since last week) |  Dallas CowboysDAL | 35.2% |
| 27 (up 2 places since last week) |  Tennessee TitansTEN | 31.6% |
| 28 (up 3 places since last week) |  New York GiantsNYG | 30.6% |
| 29 (down 1 place since last week) |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 29.4% |
| 30 (down 4 places since last week) |  New England PatriotsNWE | 28.2% |
| 31 (down 1 place since last week) |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | 28.0% |
| 32 (no change since last week) |  Carolina PanthersCAR | 23.4% |