2022

Wild Card

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Buffalo Bills	BUF	1no change	0.75
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	2no change	0.74
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	34up 4 positions	0.68
Green Bay Packers	GNB	41up 1 positions	0.66
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	51up 1 positions	0.65
Miami Dolphins	MIA	65up 5 positions	0.62
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	74down 4 positions	0.60
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	84down 4 positions	0.59
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	91up 1 positions	0.58
New England Patriots	NWE	1013up 13 positions	0.55
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	115up 5 positions	0.52
New York Giants	NYG	12no change	0.52
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	138up 8 positions	0.51
Detroit Lions	DET	141down 1 positions	0.51
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	15no change	0.51
New York Jets	NYJ	162down 2 positions	0.50
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	179up 9 positions	0.50
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	184up 4 positions	0.48
New Orleans Saints	NOR	192down 2 positions	0.48
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	204up 4 positions	0.48
Washington Commanders	WAS	211down 1 positions	0.48
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	227up 7 positions	0.47
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	2315down 15 positions	0.47
Cleveland Browns	CLE	2415down 15 positions	0.45
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	256down 6 positions	0.44
Tennessee Titans	TEN	265up 5 positions	0.44
Carolina Panthers	CAR	273up 3 positions	0.39
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	2810down 10 positions	0.37
Denver Broncos	DEN	294down 4 positions	0.37
Chicago Bears	CHI	303down 3 positions	0.36
Indianapolis Colts	IND	313down 3 positions	0.33
Houston Texans	HOU	32no change	0.30