NFL Power Rankings: Conference, 2025

Every team ranked by how often it wins 150 simulated games against a league-median opponent, using our drive-by-drive game simulation. Win rate measures team strength independent of schedule. How the model works.

Updated · Data: nflverse (CC BY 4.0)

NFL power rankings, Conference, 2025: all 32 teams by simulated win rate (share of 150 simulated games won against a league-average team).
RankTeamWin rate
1 (up 2 places since last week)BUF75.3%
2 (no change since last week)SEA73.3%
3 (down 2 places since last week)LAR72.0%
4 (no change since last week)JAX67.3%
5 (up 3 places since last week)IND66.0%
6 (up 7 places since last week)SFO63.3%
7 (no change since last week)HOU62.7%
8 (up 8 places since last week)DEN62.7%
9 (down 4 places since last week)NWE62.0%
10 (up 10 places since last week)DAL58.7%
11 (down 2 places since last week)KAN58.7%
12 (up 3 places since last week)DET58.0%
13 (up 4 places since last week)MIN57.3%
14 (down 8 places since last week)LAC56.0%
15 (down 5 places since last week)BAL54.7%
16 (up 8 places since last week)MIA50.0%
17 (up 9 places since last week)PIT50.0%
18 (up 9 places since last week)ATL50.0%
19 (down 5 places since last week)PHI48.7%
20 (down 9 places since last week)GNB48.7%
21 (no change since last week)CHI48.0%
22 (down 4 places since last week)NYG48.0%
23 (down 11 places since last week)NOR46.7%
24 (up 1 place since last week)TAM44.7%
25 (down 6 places since last week)CIN43.3%
26 (up 3 places since last week)ARI40.7%
27 (down 4 places since last week)WAS40.7%
28 (no change since last week)CAR40.7%
29 (down 7 places since last week)CLE39.3%
30 (up 1 place since last week)LVR28.0%
31 (down 1 place since last week)NYJ24.0%
32 (no change since last week)TEN22.0%