2025

Conference Championship

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Buffalo Bills	BUF	12up 2 positions	0.75
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	2no change	0.73
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	32down 2 positions	0.72
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	4no change	0.67
Indianapolis Colts	IND	53up 3 positions	0.66
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	67up 7 positions	0.63
Houston Texans	HOU	7no change	0.63
Denver Broncos	DEN	88up 8 positions	0.63
New England Patriots	NWE	94down 4 positions	0.62
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	1010up 10 positions	0.59
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	112down 2 positions	0.59
Detroit Lions	DET	123up 3 positions	0.58
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	134up 4 positions	0.57
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	148down 8 positions	0.56
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	155down 5 positions	0.55
Miami Dolphins	MIA	168up 8 positions	0.50
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	179up 9 positions	0.50
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	189up 9 positions	0.50
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	195down 5 positions	0.49
Green Bay Packers	GNB	209down 9 positions	0.49
Chicago Bears	CHI	21no change	0.48
New York Giants	NYG	224down 4 positions	0.48
New Orleans Saints	NOR	2311down 11 positions	0.47
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	241up 1 positions	0.45
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	256down 6 positions	0.43
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	263up 3 positions	0.41
Washington Commanders	WAS	274down 4 positions	0.41
Carolina Panthers	CAR	28no change	0.41
Cleveland Browns	CLE	297down 7 positions	0.39
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	301up 1 positions	0.28
New York Jets	NYJ	311down 1 positions	0.24
Tennessee Titans	TEN	32no change	0.22