2025

Week 16

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	1no change	0.84
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	24up 4 positions	0.75
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	31down 1 positions	0.74
Houston Texans	HOU	41down 1 positions	0.70
Buffalo Bills	BUF	55up 5 positions	0.70
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	61up 1 positions	0.68
Detroit Lions	DET	72up 2 positions	0.65
Indianapolis Colts	IND	83down 3 positions	0.63
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	95down 5 positions	0.61
Green Bay Packers	GNB	101up 1 positions	0.61
Denver Broncos	DEN	112up 2 positions	0.60
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	122up 2 positions	0.55
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	138up 8 positions	0.55
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	148up 8 positions	0.53
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	151up 1 positions	0.52
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	161down 1 positions	0.51
New England Patriots	NWE	179down 9 positions	0.51
Chicago Bears	CHI	181down 1 positions	0.50
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	191down 1 positions	0.49
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	203up 3 positions	0.48
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	211down 1 positions	0.46
Miami Dolphins	MIA	2210down 10 positions	0.45
Washington Commanders	WAS	236up 6 positions	0.43
New York Giants	NYG	245down 5 positions	0.43
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	251up 1 positions	0.37
Cleveland Browns	CLE	262down 2 positions	0.37
Carolina Panthers	CAR	272down 2 positions	0.37
New Orleans Saints	NOR	281down 1 positions	0.35
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	291up 1 positions	0.31
New York Jets	NYJ	302up 2 positions	0.29
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	313down 3 positions	0.27
Tennessee Titans	TEN	321down 1 positions	0.25