2024

Week 17

Power rankings based on simulated win rate against a league-average opponent. Win Rate shows how often each team wins in 10,000 simulated games, measuring true team strength independent of schedule.

Team	Team	Rank	Win Rate
Detroit Lions	DET	1no change	0.76
Baltimore Ravens	BAL	21up 1 positions	0.74
Green Bay Packers	GNB	34up 4 positions	0.74
Buffalo Bills	BUF	41up 1 positions	0.71
Minnesota Vikings	MIN	51up 1 positions	0.71
Philadelphia Eagles	PHI	64down 4 positions	0.70
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TAM	73down 3 positions	0.69
Washington Commanders	WAS	82up 2 positions	0.64
Kansas City Chiefs	KAN	91down 1 positions	0.60
Los Angeles Chargers	LAC	102up 2 positions	0.58
Arizona Cardinals	ARI	112down 2 positions	0.57
Cincinnati Bengals	CIN	121up 1 positions	0.56
Miami Dolphins	MIA	138up 8 positions	0.54
Seattle Seahawks	SEA	143down 3 positions	0.54
Houston Texans	HOU	155up 5 positions	0.53
Los Angeles Rams	LAR	161down 1 positions	0.52
San Francisco 49ers	SFO	171up 1 positions	0.51
Denver Broncos	DEN	181up 1 positions	0.50
Pittsburgh Steelers	PIT	193down 3 positions	0.49
Indianapolis Colts	IND	206down 6 positions	0.48
Atlanta Falcons	ATL	212up 2 positions	0.47
Chicago Bears	CHI	22no change	0.46
New Orleans Saints	NOR	236down 6 positions	0.45
Dallas Cowboys	DAL	24no change	0.41
New York Jets	NYJ	251up 1 positions	0.40
New England Patriots	NWE	261up 1 positions	0.37
Las Vegas Raiders	LVR	272up 2 positions	0.35
Jacksonville Jaguars	JAX	28no change	0.33
Tennessee Titans	TEN	294down 4 positions	0.31
Cleveland Browns	CLE	301up 1 positions	0.28
New York Giants	NYG	311down 1 positions	0.26
Carolina Panthers	CAR	32no change	0.22